National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Sir Halley Stewart Field

Spalding United vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spalding United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
South Shields 1 - 1 Spalding
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Bartosz Cybulski

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Daniel Ogwuru

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spalding United win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Southport has a probability of 28.15% and a draw has a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spalding United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southport win is 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.52%).

Result

Spalding United 48.38% (+0.33)
Draw 23.42% (-0.40)
Southport 28.15% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.58% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.42% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 19.58% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 58.82% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 41.18% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 35.78% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 64.22% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 22.02% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 77.98% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Spalding United 38.19% (-0.17)
Draw 38.24% (-0.36)
Southport 23.57% (+0.52)

Team To Score First

Spalding United 55.7% (-1.43)
No Goal 5.42% (-0.17)
Southport 38.88% (+1.61)

Corners

Over 8 68.63% (+5.52)
Equal 8 10.31% (-0.23)
Under 8 21.06% (-5.30)
Over 9 57.12% (+5.17)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.34)
Under 9 31.37% (-5.52)
Over 10.5 45.42% (+4.36)
Under 10.5 54.58% (-4.36)

Spalding United Goals

Over 1.5 50.26% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 49.74% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 25% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 75% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 10.92% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 89.08% (-0.27)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 64.35% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 35.65% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 32.9% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 67.1% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 12.93% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 87.07% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.06% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 95.94% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Spalding United 48.38%
Draw 23.43%
Southport 28.15%
Spalding United
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.12% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.71% (+0.30)
Total : 48.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.03)
Total : 23.43%
Southport
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.96% (+0.24)
2-3 @ 2.46% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.85% (+0.21)
Total : 28.15%