National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Matty Daly 50' goal
  • Elliot Newby 62' goal
  • Matty Daly 78' goal
  • Isaac Buckley-Ricketts 86' goal

Morecambe vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 0 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Matty Daly

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Sisa Tuntulwana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 29.09% ▼ (-0.90)
Draw 25.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Buxton 45.21% ▲ (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.82% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 24.18% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 52.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.56% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 69.44% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 17.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 82.3% ▼ (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 26.23% ▲ (+1.27)
Draw 40.13% ▲ (+0.84)
Buxton 33.64% ▼ (-2.11)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 42.22% ▲ (+1.73)
No Goal 7.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Buxton 50.66% ▼ (-1.69)

Corners

Over 8 68.57% ▲ (+1.40)
Equal 8 10.26% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 8 21.18% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 9 57.14% ▲ (+1.00)
Equal 9 11.43% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 9 31.43% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 10.5 45.54% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 10.5 54.46% ▼ (-0.51)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 31.09% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 68.91% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 11.73% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 88.27% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▲ (+0.05)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 75.69% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 0.5 24.31% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 1.5 45.1% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 54.9% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 20.76% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 79.24% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 8.42% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 91.58% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Morecambe 29.09%
Draw 25.7%
Buxton 45.21%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 29.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 25.7%
Buxton
0-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 45.21%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Dec 4, 2021 12.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tom Elliott 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lindon Meikle 50' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Stockton 29'