National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 0 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Teddy Collis

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Sisa Tuntulwana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buxton win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 29.09% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 1-0 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result

Morecambe 29.09% (-0.90)
Draw 25.7% (+0.15)
Buxton 45.21% (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.82% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 24.18% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 52.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.56% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 69.44% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 17.7% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 82.3% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 26.23% (+1.27)
Draw 40.13% (+0.84)
Buxton 33.64% (-2.11)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 42.22% (+1.73)
No Goal 7.12% (-0.05)
Buxton 50.66% (-1.69)

Corners

Over 8 68.57% (+1.40)
Equal 8 10.26% (+0.21)
Under 8 21.18% (-1.61)
Over 9 57.14% (+1.00)
Equal 9 11.43% (+0.41)
Under 9 31.43% (-1.40)
Over 10.5 45.54% (+0.51)
Under 10.5 54.46% (-0.51)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 31.09% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 68.91% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 11.73% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 88.27% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 3.45% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.55% (+0.05)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 75.69% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 24.31% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 45.1% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 54.9% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 20.76% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 79.24% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 8.42% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 91.58% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Morecambe 29.09%
Draw 25.7%
Buxton 45.21%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.11)
Total : 29.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.07)
Total : 25.7%
Buxton
0-1 @ 9.55% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.62% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.63% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 4.02% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.13)
Other @ 8.14% (+0.15)
Total : 45.21%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Dec 4, 2021 12.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tom Elliott 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lindon Meikle 50' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Stockton 29'