National League North | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Haig Avenue

Southport
0 - 1
Chester

FT(HT: 0-0)

Woods (73')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 2-4 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Next Game: Southport vs. Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chester 2-0 Macclesfield
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Next Game: Chester vs. Worksop
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Chester FC
26.26% ( 0.65)	26.03% ( 0.26)	47.7% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.15% (

-0.56)

53.85% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.69% (

-0.47)

75.31% (

0.48)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4% (

0.25)

35.6% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63% (

0.25)

72.37% (

-0.25)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

-0.64)

22.58% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82% (

-0.96)

56.18% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Southport 26.26%

Chester FC 47.7%

Draw 26.03%

Southport	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.26%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.7%