Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chester FC in this match.