Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.