National League North | Gameweek 45

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 1
Marine AFC

Burke (10'), Murray (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sinclair-Smith (80')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 0-1 Chester
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Marine AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Marine AFC 1-0 Warrington Town
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Marine AFC
62.04% ( 0.39)	23.96% ( -0.12)	14% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 37.97% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.02% (

-0.03)

59.98% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.78% (

-0.03)

80.23% (

0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

0.13)

19.18% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15% (

0.22)

50.86% (

-0.22)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.98% (

-0.43)

53.02% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.34% (

-0.28)

86.66% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 62.03%

Marine AFC 14%

Draw 23.96%

Chester FC	Draw	Marine AFC
1-0 @ 16.79% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 62.03%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.96%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 14%