National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Harrison Burke 10' goal
  • Iwan Murray 69' goal
  • goal Finlay Sinclair-Smith 80'

Chester FC vs Marine AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Tom Peers

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Marine AFC 1 - 0 Warrington Town
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Finlay Sinclair-Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result

Chester FC 62.04% (+0.40)
Draw 23.96% (-0.13)
Marine AFC 14% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.97% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 80.23% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 8.21% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.79% (+0.02)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 80.82% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 19.18% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 49.15% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 50.86% (-0.22)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 46.98% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 53.02% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 13.34% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 86.66% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Chester FC 62.03%
Draw 23.96%
Marine AFC 14%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 16.79% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 13.86% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.63% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.15% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 62.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.17% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.96%
Marine AFC
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 14%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Tom Atcheson 25' yellowcard
  • Kallan Murphy 33' yellowcard
  • James Brown 52' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 70' goal
  • Leigh Whelan 71' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 88' goal
  • goal Dylan Mottley-Henry 11'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burke 23'
  • goal Iwan Murray 30'
  • goal Harrison Burke 58'
  • yellowcard Noah Wadsworth 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Bainbridge 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Woodthorpe 83'