National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
The Silverlands

Buxton vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Buxton 5 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Sisa Tuntulwana

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Chester 0 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
M. Bogle-Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buxton win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Chester FC has a probability of 28.05% and a draw has a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Chester FC win is 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

Buxton 45.81% (+2.50)
Draw 26.14% (+0.18)
Chester FC 28.05% (-2.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.32% (-0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.09% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 23.91% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 52.29% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 47.71% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 30.2% (+0.97)
Under 3.5 69.8% (-0.97)
Over 4.5 17.34% (+0.83)
Under 4.5 82.66% (-0.83)

First Half Winner

Buxton 33.85% (+1.33)
Draw 43.12% (+0.72)
Chester FC 23.03% (-2.04)

Team To Score First

Buxton 53.78% (+1.08)
No Goal 7.04% (+0.20)
Chester FC 39.18% (-1.26)

Corners

Over 8 54.88% (+3.50)
Equal 8 12% (-0.07)
Under 8 33.12% (-3.45)
Over 9 42.91% (+3.21)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.28)
Under 9 45.12% (-3.50)
Over 10.5 32% (+2.70)
Under 10.5 68% (-2.71)

Buxton Goals

Over 1.5 45.06% (+1.88)
Under 1.5 54.94% (-1.88)
Over 2.5 20.75% (+1.83)
Under 2.5 79.25% (-1.83)
Over 3.5 7.81% (+1.26)
Under 3.5 92.19% (-1.27)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 64.1% (-2.45)
Under 0.5 35.9% (+2.44)
Over 1.5 31.05% (-2.10)
Under 1.5 68.95% (+2.11)
Over 2.5 11.09% (-1.38)
Under 2.5 88.91% (+1.37)
Over 3.5 3.4% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 96.6% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Buxton 45.83%
Draw 26.14%
Chester FC 28.03%
Buxton
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.50)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.52% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.21)
Other @ 7.58% (+1.25)
Total : 45.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.04% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.03)
Total : 26.14%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.41)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.56)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.48)
Total : 28.03%

Head to Head

National League North
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Patrick Jones 19' yellowcard
  • Lewis Leigh 46' yellowcard
  • Connor Woods 65' yellowcard
  • Jaiden White 76' yellowcard
  • Dylan Mottley-Henry 87' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Coleman 58'
  • yellowcard Connor Douglas 58'
  • yellowcard Ryan McLean 90'+4'
National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North
Apr 30, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Iwan Murray 2' goal
  • Harrison Burke 108' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 19'
National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 3
FT The Silverlands
  • Ethan Fitzhugh 18' goal
  • Luke Brennan 28' goal
  • Liam Ravenhill 37' yellowcard
  • Tom Elliott 60' yellowcard
  • Kieran Burton 83' yellowcard
  • Connor Kirby 85' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Caton 20'
  • yellowcard James Storer 26'
  • goal Charlie Caton 39'
  • goal Harrison Burke 41'
  • yellowcard Kevin Roberts 44'
  • goal Jack Bainbridge 58'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burke 63'
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Fitzhugh 14'
  • yellowcard True Grant 50'
  • yellowcard Kieran Burton 76'
  • yellowcard Jack Stobbs 77'
  • yellowcard Ben Sault 78'
National League North Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Ben Andreucci 2' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 5'
  • goal Harrison Burke 60'
  • goal Adam Thomas 64'
  • goal Tom Peers 71'