Oct 28, 2026 7.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT De Geusselt

Elias Sierra 8'

Irakli Yegoian 15'
Irakli Yegoian 60'
Aymen Sliti 89'

MVV Maastricht vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

D
L
L
L
W
L

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

L
L
L
D
L
D

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

MVV Maastricht 30.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 21.34% ▲ (+0.02)

SBV Excelsior 48.64%

Both Teams to Score:

59.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 17% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 63.57%

Under 2.5 36.43%

Over 3.5 42.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 57.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 4.5 27.83% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 4.5 72.17% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 26.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 35.4% ▼ (-0.01)

SBV Excelsior 37.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 39.91%

No Goal 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)

SBV Excelsior 56.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.15% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 8 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 29.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 9 47.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 9 11.49%

Under 9 40.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 10.5 36.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 10.5 63.2% ▼ (-0.01)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 36.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 63.32% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 16.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 83.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 5.92%

Under 3.5 94.08%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 21.03% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 52.76% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 47.24% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 28.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 71.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 13.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 86.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 30.01%

Draw 21.34%

SBV Excelsior 48.64%

MVV Maastricht

2-1 @ 6.36%

1-0 @ 5.51%

2-0 @ 3.82%

3-1 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.25%

Other @ 5.4%

Total : 30.01%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.8%

2-2 @ 6.15%

0-0 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.83%

Other @ 0.52%

Total : 21.34%

SBV Excelsior

1-2 @ 8.44%

0-1 @ 7.44%

0-2 @ 6.83%

1-3 @ 5.28%

2-3 @ 3.68%

0-3 @ 3.63%

Other @ 13.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 48.64%

Head to Head

Apr 4, 2025 7.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT De Geusselt

Sven Braken 35'
Ayman Kassimi 90'+5'
Ayman Kassimi 90'+5'

Lance Duijvestijn 86'
Mike van Duinen 90'+2'

Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm

3

2

HT : 1 2

FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Seydou Fini 35'
Noah Naujoks 69'
Serano Seymor 81'
Mike van Duinen 87'
Mike van Duinen 88'
Jerolldino Armantrading 90'+2'

Ilano Silva Timas 9'
Seb Loeffen 42' (OG)
Ozgur Aktas 81'
Edwin Hermans 90'+3'
Lars Schenk 90'+6'

Apr 15, 2022 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Mart Remans 6'
Roland Alberg 63'
Rico Zeegers 72'

Reuven Niemeijer 2'
Redouan El Yaakoubi 83'
Nikita Vlasenko 84'

Dec 10, 2021 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Thijs Dallinga 21'
Thijs Dallinga 50'

Rico Zeegers 33'
Roland Alberg 75'
Mats Wieffer 84' (OG)

Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Djibril Dianessy 88'

Oct 16, 2020 8.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Julian Baas 52'
Elias Mar Omarsson 55'

Timo Stavitski 24'

Form Data

Den Bosch 2 - 2 MVV

MVV 1 - 5 Heracles

NAC Breda 1 - 0 MVV

MVV 2 - 0 Helmond

RKC Waalwijk 6 - 1 MVV

Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior

Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior

Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen

Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior

Excelsior 1 - 2 Utrecht

Nijmegen 2 - 2 Excelsior