Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.30pm
Vitesse 2 - 2 NAC Breda
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Paul Gladon

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.30pm
Oss 4 - 1 MVV
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NAC Breda win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw has a probability of 16.73% and a win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 13.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.67%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it is 1-2 (3.99%).

Result

NAC Breda 70.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 16.73% ▲ (+0.08)
MVV Maastricht 13.22% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.81% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 14.19% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 67.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 32.42% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 45.55% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 54.45% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 32.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 67.89% ▲ (+0.33)

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 54.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 30.44% ▼ (-0.03)
MVV Maastricht 14.77% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 70.67% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 3.06% ▲ (+0.05)
MVV Maastricht 26.27% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 76.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 8.28%
Under 8 15.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 66.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 23.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 55.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 44.2% ▼ (-0.04)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 69.4% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 30.6% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 43.88% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 56.12% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 23.51% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 76.49% ▲ (+0.24)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 48.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 51.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 20.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 5.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

NAC Breda 70.04%
Draw 16.74%
MVV Maastricht 13.22%
NAC Breda
2-1 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 23.5% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 70.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93%
0-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 16.74%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 13.22%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Mar 29, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Boyd Lucassen 14' yellowcard
  • Bryant Nieling 54' goal
  • Roy Kuijpers 78' yellowcard
  • goal Tunahan Tasci 62'
  • goal Tunahan Tasci 82'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 15
Nov 19, 2023 3.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT De Geusselt
  • Leroy Labylle 31' goal
  • Koen Kostons 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ozgur Aktas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jan Van den Bergh 4'
  • goal Dominik Janosek 11'
  • yellowcard Casper Staring 19'
  • goal Aime Omgba 45'+4'
  • goal Clint Leemans 49'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 27, 2023 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Dailon Rocha 68' goal
  • goal Elias Mar Omarsson 20'
  • goal Sabir Agougil 29'
  • goal Ezechiel Banzuzi 38'
  • goal Jesaja Herrmann 90'+3'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 23, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Odysseus Velanas 40' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 21' goal
  • Jort van der Sande 43' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 45' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 86' goal
  • goal Ruben van Bommel 34'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Koen Kostons 9' goal
  • Mart Remans 12' goal
  • Koen Kostons 45' yellowcard
  • Rico Zeegers 47' yellowcard
  • Ruben van Bommel 66' goal
  • yellowcard Tijs Velthuis 11'
  • yellowcard Alex Plat 30'
  • goal Jort van der Sande 71'