Eerste Divisie Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
AFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
Emmen 3 - 1 Jong AZ
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ayoub Oufkir

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
MVV 1 - 0 Volendam
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ilias Breugelmans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jong AZ win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw has a probability of 16.96% and a win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.31%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it is 1-2 (4.57%).

Result

Jong AZ 66.93% (+7.25)
Draw 16.96% (-2.28)
MVV Maastricht 16.16% (-4.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% (-1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.07% (+1.56)
Under 1.5 13.93% (-1.57)
Over 2.5 68.32% (+2.46)
Under 2.5 31.68% (-2.47)
Over 3.5 46.86% (+3.02)
Under 3.5 53.14% (-3.02)
Over 4.5 32.31% (+3.67)
Under 4.5 67.69% (-3.66)

First Half Winner

Jong AZ 47.83% (+2.18)
Draw 35.03% (-0.45)
MVV Maastricht 17.15% (-1.74)

Team To Score First

Jong AZ 65.08% (+2.40)
No Goal 3.21% (-0.42)
MVV Maastricht 31.71% (-1.98)

Corners

Over 8 71.8% (+0.82)
Equal 8 9.42% (-0.14)
Under 8 18.78% (-0.70)
Over 9 61.01% (+0.90)
Equal 9 10.79% (-0.07)
Under 9 28.2% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 49.72% (+0.87)
Under 10.5 50.28% (-0.87)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 1.5 67.86% (+6.02)
Under 1.5 32.14% (-6.02)
Over 2.5 42.45% (+6.88)
Under 2.5 57.55% (-6.88)
Over 3.5 22.05% (+5.48)
Under 3.5 77.95% (-5.49)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 52.12% (-6.63)
Under 0.5 47.88% (+6.63)
Over 1.5 24.06% (-4.97)
Under 1.5 75.94% (+4.96)
Over 2.5 8.02% (-2.74)
Under 2.5 91.98% (+2.75)
Over 3.5 2.36% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 97.64% (+1.07)

Score analysis

Jong AZ 66.93%
Draw 16.96%
MVV Maastricht 16.17%
Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.67)
3-1 @ 7.81% (+0.61)
1-0 @ 7.52% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 6.58% (+1.07)
3-2 @ 4.71% (-0.13)
Other @ 21.93% (+5.54)
Total : 66.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.31% (-1.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.65)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.06)
Total : 16.96%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.89)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.92)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.54)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.56)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.60)
Other @ 2.24% (-1.00)
Total : 16.17%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Mar 16, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Matej Sin 21' goal
  • 61' yellowcard
  • Nick Twisk 61' yellowcard
  • Jasper Hartog 61' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah Esajas 61' yellowcard
  • Yoël van den Ban 72' yellowcard
  • Julian Oerip 82' yellowcard
  • goal Rion Ichihara 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sven Braken 73'
  • yellowcard Ilano Silva Timas 73'
  • yellowcard Ilano Silva Timas 74'
  • yellowcard Ilias Breugelmans 84'
Eerste Divisie
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Djairo Tehubyuluw 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Job Kalisvaart 53'
  • goal Yoel van den Ban 87'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Jayen Gerold 17' goal
  • Jayden Addai 83' goal
  • goal <TBD> 12'
  • goal Camil Mmaee 22'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 24'
  • goal Camil Mmaee 29'
  • yellowcard Tim Zeegers 33'
  • goal Camil Mmaee 55'
  • yellowcard Rayan Buifrahi 59'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 37
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Ro-Zangelo Daal 8' goal
  • Sem Westerveld 42' yellowcard
  • Jorn Berkhout 55' goal
  • goal Nabil El Basri 35'
  • yellowcard Rayan Buifrahi 39'
  • goal Dailon Rocha 43'
  • redcard Rayan Buifrahi 47'
  • goal Bryan Smeets 86'
  • yellowcard Bryan Smeets 90'+2'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Koen Kostons 3' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 23' goal
  • Dailon Rocha 76' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 81' goal