Eerste Divisie Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Julian Oerip 84' goal
  • goal Olivier Dumont 36'
  • goal Noa el Hamdaoui 74'

Jong AZ vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
Emmen 3 - 1 Jong AZ
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Ayoub Oufkir

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
MVV 1 - 0 Volendam
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.96% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Jong AZ 66.93% ▲ (+7.25)
Draw 16.96% ▼ (-2.28)
MVV Maastricht 16.16% ▼ (-4.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% ▼ (-1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.07% ▲ (+1.56)
Under 1.5 13.93% ▼ (-1.57)
Over 2.5 68.32% ▲ (+2.46)
Under 2.5 31.68% ▼ (-2.47)
Over 3.5 46.86% ▲ (+3.02)
Under 3.5 53.14% ▼ (-3.02)
Over 4.5 32.31% ▲ (+3.67)
Under 4.5 67.69% ▼ (-3.66)

First Half Winner

Jong AZ 47.83% ▲ (+2.18)
Draw 35.03% ▼ (-0.45)
MVV Maastricht 17.15% ▼ (-1.74)

Team To Score First

Jong AZ 65.08% ▲ (+2.40)
No Goal 3.21% ▼ (-0.42)
MVV Maastricht 31.71% ▼ (-1.98)

Corners

Over 8 71.8% ▲ (+0.82)
Equal 8 9.42% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 8 18.78% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 9 61.01% ▲ (+0.90)
Equal 9 10.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 28.2% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 10.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.87)
Under 10.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.87)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 1.5 67.86% ▲ (+6.02)
Under 1.5 32.14% ▼ (-6.02)
Over 2.5 42.45% ▲ (+6.88)
Under 2.5 57.55% ▼ (-6.88)
Over 3.5 22.05% ▲ (+5.48)
Under 3.5 77.95% ▼ (-5.49)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 52.12% ▼ (-6.63)
Under 0.5 47.88% ▲ (+6.63)
Over 1.5 24.06% ▼ (-4.97)
Under 1.5 75.94% ▲ (+4.96)
Over 2.5 8.02% ▼ (-2.74)
Under 2.5 91.98% ▲ (+2.75)
Over 3.5 2.36% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 97.64% ▲ (+1.07)

Score analysis

Jong AZ 66.93%
Draw 16.96%
MVV Maastricht 16.17%
Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.67)
3-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.61)
1-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+1.07)
3-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 21.93% ▲ (+5.54)
Total : 66.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-1.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.65)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 16.96%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.89)
0-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.92)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.54)
0-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.56)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 2.24% ▼ (-1.00)
Total : 16.17%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Mar 16, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Matej Sin 21' goal
  • 61' yellowcard
  • Nick Twisk 61' yellowcard
  • Jasper Hartog 61' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah Esajas 61' yellowcard
  • Yoël van den Ban 72' yellowcard
  • Julian Oerip 82' yellowcard
  • goal Rion Ichihara 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sven Braken 73'
  • yellowcard Ilano Silva Timas 73'
  • yellowcard Ilano Silva Timas 74'
  • yellowcard Ilias Breugelmans 84'
Eerste Divisie
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Djairo Tehubyuluw 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Job Kalisvaart 53'
  • goal Yoel van den Ban 87'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Jayen Gerold 17' goal
  • Jayden Addai 83' goal
  • goal <TBD> 12'
  • goal Camil Mmaee 22'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 24'
  • goal Camil Mmaee 29'
  • yellowcard Tim Zeegers 33'
  • goal Camil Mmaee 55'
  • yellowcard Rayan Buifrahi 59'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 37
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT AFAS Trainingscomplex
  • Ro-Zangelo Daal 8' goal
  • Sem Westerveld 42' yellowcard
  • Jorn Berkhout 55' goal
  • goal Nabil El Basri 35'
  • yellowcard Rayan Buifrahi 39'
  • goal Dailon Rocha 43'
  • redcard Rayan Buifrahi 47'
  • goal Bryan Smeets 86'
  • yellowcard Bryan Smeets 90'+2'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Koen Kostons 3' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 23' goal
  • Dailon Rocha 76' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 81' goal