Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
De Graafschap
Sep 20, 2026 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
NAC Breda
  • Julian Kania 45' goal
  • Thomas Kok 56' yellowcard
  • Thomas Kok 63' redcard
  • goal Charles-Andreas Brym 18'
  • goal Charles-Andreas Brym 40'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Nassoh  44'
  • yellowcard Jan Van den Bergh 82'

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
Emmen 1 - 2 De Graafschap
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Julian Kania

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 2 - 3 Jong Utrecht
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Charles-Andreas Brym

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

De Graafschap 29.66% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 25.26% ▼ (-0.04)
NAC Breda 45.12% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.78% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 16.22% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 63.89% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 36.11% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 41.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 58.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 26.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 73.62% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

De Graafschap 24.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 39.42% ▼ (-0.13)
NAC Breda 35.96% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

De Graafschap 41.83% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 4.64% ▲ (+0.06)
NAC Breda 53.53% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 27.74% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 9 50.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 38.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 39.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.68% ▼ (-0.01)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 1.5 39.13% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 60.87% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 16.29% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 83.71% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 6.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.68% ▲ (+0.06)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 79.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 48.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 25.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 88.79% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 29.65%
Draw 25.27%
NAC Breda 45.12%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 29.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.27%
NAC Breda
1-2 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 10.7% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 45.12%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 24
NAC Breda
Feb 2, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
De Graafschap
  • yellowcard Alexander Buttner 33'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 13
De Graafschap
Nov 3, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
NAC Breda
  • Alexander Buttner 41' yellowcard
  • David Flakus Bosilj 68' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Koscelnik 43'
  • yellowcard Matthew Garbett 53'
  • yellowcard Tom Boere 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Cuco Martina 90'+6'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 24
NAC Breda
Feb 10, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
De Graafschap
  • Odysseus Velanas 40' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 55' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
De Graafschap
Sep 9, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
NAC Breda
  • Danzell Gravenberch 87' goal
  • goal Kaj de Rooij 38'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
NAC Breda
Mar 11, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
De Graafschap
  • Ted van de Pavert 5' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 74' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasper Van Heertum 9'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 58'
  • yellowcard Danny Verbeek 85'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 3
De Graafschap
Aug 20, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
NAC Breda
  • Joey Konings 38' goal
  • Rick Dekker 56' yellowcard
  • Joey Konings 58' yellowcard
  • Devin Haen 90' goal
  • yellowcard Yassine Azzagari 36'

Form Data

Emmen 1 - 2 De Graafschap
Heracles 5 - 0 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 1 - 4 Almere City
VVV-Venlo 2 - 1 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 2 - 5 Jong AZ
Helmond 1 - 1 De Graafschap
NAC Breda 2 - 3 Jong Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk 4 - 2 NAC Breda
Roda JC 2 - 2 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 3 - 2 Jong Ajax
NAC Breda 0 - 2 VVV-Venlo
Oss 1 - 2 NAC Breda