Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2026 3.45pm
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
Emmen 1 - 2 De Graafschap
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Julian Kania

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 2 - 3 Jong Utrecht
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Paul Gladon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for De Graafschap has a probability of 29.66% and a draw has a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest De Graafschap win is 2-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.22%).

Result

De Graafschap 29.66% (-0.17)
Draw 25.26% (-0.04)
NAC Breda 45.12% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.82% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.78% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 16.22% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 63.89% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 36.11% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 41.5% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 58.5% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 26.38% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 73.62% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

De Graafschap 24.61% (+0.06)
Draw 39.42% (-0.13)
NAC Breda 35.96% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

De Graafschap 41.83% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.64% (+0.06)
NAC Breda 53.53% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.76% (+0.04)
Under 8 27.74% (-0.19)
Over 9 50.21% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.29% (+0.06)
Under 9 38.5% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 39.32% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.68% (-0.01)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 1.5 39.13% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 60.87% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 16.29% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 83.71% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 6.32% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.68% (+0.06)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 79.15% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.85% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.88% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 48.12% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 25.8% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.2% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.21% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 88.79% (-0.10)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 29.65%
Draw 25.27%
NAC Breda 45.12%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 4.96% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.8% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.13)
Other @ 5.81% (-0.04)
Total : 29.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.58% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.64% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.51% (-0.03)
Total : 25.27%
NAC Breda
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.66% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.89% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.57% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.03% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.08)
Other @ 10.7% (+0.12)
Total : 45.12%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • yellowcard Alexander Buttner 33'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Alexander Buttner 41' yellowcard
  • David Flakus Bosilj 68' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Koscelnik 43'
  • yellowcard Matthew Garbett 53'
  • yellowcard Tom Boere 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Cuco Martina 90'+6'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Odysseus Velanas 40' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 55' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danzell Gravenberch 87' goal
  • goal Kaj de Rooij 38'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 11, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ted van de Pavert 5' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 74' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasper Van Heertum 9'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 58'
  • yellowcard Danny Verbeek 85'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joey Konings 38' goal
  • Rick Dekker 56' yellowcard
  • Joey Konings 58' yellowcard
  • Devin Haen 90' goal
  • yellowcard Yassine Azzagari 36'