Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2026 7.00pm
Asito Stadion

Heracles vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 11.15am
FC Eindhoven 1 - 3 Heracles
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Jean-Paul N'Djoli

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
De Graafschap 1 - 4 Almere City
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Julian Kania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Heracles has a probability of 38.27% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.91%) and 0-2 (4.84%). The likeliest Heracles win is 2-1 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.54%).

Result

Heracles 38.27% (-0.13)
Draw 22.64% (+0.02)
De Graafschap 39.05% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.7% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 15.98% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 64.71% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 35.29% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 42.17% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 57.83% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 26.65% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 73.35% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Heracles 32.18%
Draw 35.03% (+0.04)
De Graafschap 32.79% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Heracles 45.86% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.06% (+0.01)
De Graafschap 50.08% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.99% (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.37% (-0.03)
Under 8 25.64% (+0.09)
Over 9 52.91% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.09% (-0.03)
Under 9 36.01% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 42% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58% (-0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 44.76% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 55.24% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 21.03% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 78.97% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.91% (+0.04)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 74.42% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.58% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 46.05% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.95% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.4% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Heracles 38.27%
Draw 22.64%
De Graafschap 39.04%
Heracles
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.83% (-0.05)
Total : 38.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 22.64%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 8.42% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.34% (-0.03)
Total : 39.04%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Jan 16, 2025 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Levi Schoppema 64' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim El Kadiri 82' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Bruns 14'
  • yellowcard Jizz Hornkamp 56'
  • goal Suf Podgoreanu 67'
  • yellowcard Brian De Keersmaecker 82'
  • yellowcard Jannes Wieckhoff 83'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Devin Haen 4' goal
  • Basar Onal 15' goal
  • Camiel Neghli 59' goal
  • Jeffry Fortes 84' goal
  • Charlison Benschop 90'+5' goal
  • goal Marco Rente 8'
  • goal Lucas Schoofs 30'
  • goal Sven Sonnenberg 81'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Emil Hansson 5' goal
  • Samuel Armenteros 49' goal
  • Thomas Bruns 75' goal
  • goal Siem de Jong 18'
  • goal Danzell Gravenberch 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2019 6.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)
  • Charlison Benschop 16' goal
  • Bart Straalman 56' yellowcard
  • Youssef El Jebli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dario van den Buijs 62'
  • goal Brandley Kuwas 66'
  • goal Lerin Duarte 70'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2018 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Polman Stadion (Almelo)
  • Javier Vet 27' goal
  • Adrian Dalmau 50' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Peterson 58' goal
  • Bart van Hintum 73' yellowcard
  • Brandley Kuwas 81' goal
  • Vincent Vermeij 92' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Klaasen 52'
  • redcard Fabian Serrarens 88'
Eredivisie
Jan 23, 2016 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ramon Zomer 17' yellowcard
  • Brahim Darri 37' goal
  • Mark-Jan Fledderus 73' yellowcard
  • Thomas Bruns 74' goal
  • goal Andy Driver 0'
  • yellowcard Cas Peters 61'
  • yellowcard Robin Propper 90'