Eerste Divisie Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion De Vliert

Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Den Bosch

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2026 7.00pm
Den Bosch 2 - 1 Oss
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Sebastian Karlsson Grach

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.45pm
MVV 1 - 5 Heracles
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Den Bosch win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw has a probability of 17.29% and a win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.06%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it is 1-2 (4.73%).

Result

Den Bosch 65.89%
Draw 17.29% ▼ (-0.02)
MVV Maastricht 16.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 15.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 66.4%
Under 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 44.13%
Under 3.5 55.87%
Over 4.5 30.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 69.05% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Den Bosch 47.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 34.47%
MVV Maastricht 17.74%

Team To Score First

Den Bosch 65.29% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
MVV Maastricht 31.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 26.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 51.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 37.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 40.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 1.5 65.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 34.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 40.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 59.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 21.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 78.3% ▲ (+0.08)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 51.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 48.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 23.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 76.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 7.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Den Bosch 65.89%
Draw 17.29%
MVV Maastricht 16.82%
Den Bosch
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77%
3-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 21.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 65.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 17.29%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 16.82%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 23
Jan 18, 2026 11.15am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion De Vliert
  • Genrich Sillé 25' goal
  • Jack de Vries 46' yellowcard
  • Danny Verbeek 68' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Karlsson Grach 68' yellowcard
  • Ilias Boumassaoudi 80' yellowcard
  • goal Ilano Silva Timas 11'
  • goal Sven Braken 57'
  • yellowcard Mats Kuipers 73'
  • yellowcard Luca Foubert 80'
  • yellowcard Nabil El Basri 80'
  • yellowcard Kanou Sy 90'+1'
Eerste Divisie
Sep 16, 2025 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2025 3.30pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Nabil El Basri 3' goal
  • Teun van Grunsven 19' goal
  • Camil Mmaee 31' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 40' goal
  • Camil Mmaee 56' goal
  • Lars Schenk 66' yellowcard
  • Romain Matthys 86' yellowcard
  • Wout Coomans 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teun van Grunsven 14'
  • yellowcard Mikulas Bakala 15'
  • yellowcard Sheddy Barglan 19'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vliert
  • Sheddy Barglan 13' yellowcard
  • Nick de Groot 34' yellowcard
  • Danzell Gravenberch 41' goal
  • Teun van Grunsven 87' yellowcard
  • goal Nabil El Basri 52'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
Mar 23, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Leroy Labylle 23' redcard
  • Mart Remans 74' goal
  • yellowcard Yuya Ikeshita 45'
  • yellowcard Rein van Hedel 85'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2023 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vliert
  • Yuya Ikeshita 28' yellowcard
  • Ricardo-Oliver Henning 57' yellowcard
  • Jaron Vicario 67' goal
  • Kacper Kostorz 83' goal
  • Kacper Kostorz 85' goal
  • yellowcard Nabil El Basri 31'
  • yellowcard Tunahan Tasci 36'
  • goal Ferre Slegers 52'
  • yellowcard Leroy Labylle 60'
  • goal Nabil El Basri 75'
  • yellowcard Bryant Nieling 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Bryant Nieling 90'+5'