Eerste Divisie Gameweek 11
Oct 18, 2026 3.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT De Geusselt
  • Sil van der Wegen 33' goal
  • Lennerd Daneels 89' yellowcard
  • goal Maurice Wrusch 41'
  • goal Chafik Abbas 43'
  • goal Manny Rodríguez 51'
  • goal Jean-Paul N'Djoli 62'
  • goal Jean-Paul N'Djoli 82'

MVV Maastricht vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 1 - 0 MVV
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Heracles 3 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jean-Paul N'Djoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heracles win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 28.56% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win is 2-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 28.56% ▼ (-0.23)
Draw 24.89% ▲ (+0.43)
Heracles 46.5% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.95% ▼ (-0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.58% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 18.42% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 60.94% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 39.06% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 39.18% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 3.5 60.82% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 4.5 23.79% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 76.21% ▼ (-0.17)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 27.68% ▼ (-0.70)
Draw 38.39% ▼ (-0.36)
Heracles 33.93% ▲ (+1.08)

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 47.89% ▲ (+1.32)
No Goal 4.79% ▼ (-0.34)
Heracles 47.32% ▼ (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 69.69% ▼ (-0.82)
Equal 8 9.69% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 8 20.62% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 9 58.81% ▼ (-1.00)
Equal 9 10.88% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 9 30.31% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 10.5 47.63% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 10.5 52.37% ▲ (+1.11)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 35.96% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 64.04% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 2.5 14.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 85.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.19% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 94.81% ▼ (-0.11)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 79.5% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 0.5 20.5% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 1.5 50.95% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 49.05% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 2.5 25.96%
Under 2.5 74.04%
Over 3.5 11.06% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 88.94% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 28.55%
Draw 24.88%
Heracles 46.5%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 28.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.66)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.58% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 24.88%
Heracles
1-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.37)
0-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 46.5%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Anas Ouahim 3'
  • goal Anas Ouahim 54'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Vejinovic 49' yellowcard
  • Emil Hansson 73' goal
  • Emil Hansson 90'+2' goal
  • Anas Ouahim 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jarne Steuckers 20'
  • yellowcard Orhan Dzepar 48'
  • goal Nicky Souren 65'
  • yellowcard Mart Remans 80'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 90'+3'