Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Asito Stadion

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 8.00pm
Helmond 2 - 2 Heracles
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jean-Paul N'Djoli

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 7.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 1 - 1 Emmen
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Keyan Varela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heracles win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for RKC Waalwijk has a probability of 30.32% and a draw has a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win is 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.55%).

Result

Heracles 47.14% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 22.59% ▲ (+0.04)
RKC Waalwijk 30.32% ▲ (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.45% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.3%
Under 1.5 16.7%
Over 2.5 63.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 36.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 41.48% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 58.52% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 4.5 25.98% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 74.02% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Heracles 35.19% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 37.61% ▲ (+0.07)
RKC Waalwijk 27.2% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Heracles 52.41% ▼ (-0.20)
No Goal 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
RKC Waalwijk 43.3% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 63.64% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 10.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 25.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 9 52.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 36.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 40.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 59.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 51.77% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 48.23% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 11.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 88.29% ▲ (+0.09)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 37.73% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 62.27% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 15.76% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 84.24% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Heracles 47.14%
Draw 22.6%
RKC Waalwijk 30.32%
Heracles
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 47.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.6%
RKC Waalwijk
1-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 2, 2025 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 2, 2025 1.30pm
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mandemakers Stadion
  • Richonell Margaret 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Mesik 52'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Erve Asito
  • Luka Kulenovic 29' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 38' yellowcard
  • Jizz Hornkamp 80' goal
  • goal Richard van der Venne 57'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 11.15am
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Polman Stadion
  • Justin Hoogma 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal David Min 7'
  • goal Jurien Gaari 45'
  • goal David Min 67'
  • goal Shawn Adewoye 80'
  • goal David Min 82'
  • yellowcard Jurien Gaari 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mandemakers Stadion
  • Michiel Kramer 53' goal
  • Dario van den Buijs 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohamed Sankoh 21'
  • goal Emil Hansson 35'
  • goal Mario Engels 59'