Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2026 11.15am
Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 7.00pm
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Sittard
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Anthony Descotte

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2026 7.00pm
Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
David Garden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 33.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Fortuna Sittard 33.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 24.73%
SBV Excelsior 42.23% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.91% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 20.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 65.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 20.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.93% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Fortuna Sittard 26.58%
Draw 37.99%
SBV Excelsior 35.43%

Team To Score First

Fortuna Sittard 40.06%
No Goal 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
SBV Excelsior 54.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.57%
Equal 8 11%
Under 8 28.43%
Over 9 49.15%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 39.43%
Over 10.5 38.25%
Under 10.5 61.75%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 1.5 37.29% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 62.71% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 15.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.64% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.9% ▲ (+0.05)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 75.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 45.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fortuna Sittard 33.02%
Draw 24.73%
SBV Excelsior 42.23%
Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 33.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.73%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26%
Other @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 42.23%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Philip Brittijn 46' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Peterson 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Ihattaren 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 58' goal
  • Yassin Oukili 79' yellowcard
  • Shawn Adewoye 89' yellowcard
  • Paul Gladon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 63'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 75'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 76'
  • goal Noah Naujoks 78'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 86'
  • yellowcard Szymon Wlodarczyk 86'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 3.45pm
5
2
HT : 4 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Justin Lonwijk 2' yellowcard
  • Justin Lonwijk 13' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 15' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 29' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 34' goal
  • Ivo Pinto 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 68' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 36'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 58'
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 61'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 82'
  • yellowcard Oscar Uddenas 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Nikolas Agrafiotis 30' goal
  • Oscar Uddenas 73' goal
  • Julian Baas 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 26'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 64'
  • goal Deroy Duarte 68'
  • goal Mouhamed Menaour Belkheir 78'
  • yellowcard Danny Buijs 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kik Pierie 59' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 73' goal
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 85' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Remi Vita 87' goal