Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2026 7.00pm
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
PSV 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 3.45pm
Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
David Garden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 28.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Heerenveen 47.96%
Draw 24.03%
SBV Excelsior 28.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.2% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 20% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 59.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 40.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 76.24% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 40.37%
Draw 34.06%
SBV Excelsior 25.57%

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 55.61% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
SBV Excelsior 38.85%

Corners

Over 8 66.47%
Equal 8 9.93%
Under 8 23.6%
Over 9 55.64%
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 33.53%
Over 10.5 44.77%
Under 10.5 55.23%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 50.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 49.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 25.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 74.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.64% ▼ (-0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 64.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 33.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.91%
Under 3.5 95.09%

Score analysis

Heerenveen 47.96%
Draw 24.04%
SBV Excelsior 28.04%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.04%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 28.04%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Jerolldino Bergraaf 72' yellowcard
  • Miliano Jonathans 72' yellowcard
  • Noah Naujoks 74' yellowcard
  • Mike van Duinen 81' yellowcard
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 38'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 65'
  • goal Joris van Overeem 67'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 75'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 86'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 87'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Couhaib Driouech 18' goal
  • Troy Parrott 24' goal
  • Lazaros Lamprou 34' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 57' yellowcard
  • Lazaros Lamprou 63' goal
  • yellowcard Thom Haye 22'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 1 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Simon Olsson 9' goal
  • Denzel Hall 19' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 35' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 56' yellowcard
  • Patrik Walemark 81' yellowcard
  • goal Couhaib Driouech 21'
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 68'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 81'
  • goal Troy Parrott 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Milan van Ewijk 58'