Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026 3.30am
3
3
HT : 2 3
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Anders Dreyer 20' goal
  • Cédric Bakambu 22' goal
  • Kieran Sargeant 53' yellowcard
  • Anders Dreyer 77' yellowcard
  • Aníbal Godoy 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pirani 86' goal
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ennali 4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bond 19'
  • goal Guilherme 24'
  • goal Mateusz Bogusz 33'
  • goal Guilherme 37'
  • yellowcard Guilherme 44'

San Diego vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 4 - 1 San Diego
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 2 - 2 Houston
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Guilherme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 45.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 23.71%
Houston Dynamo 30.5% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.34% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 61.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 38.94% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 23.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.27% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

San Diego 34.2%
Draw 39.65%
Houston Dynamo 26.15%

Team To Score First

San Diego 55.99%
No Goal 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Houston Dynamo 39.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.37%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 30.5%
Over 9 46.97%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 41.63%
Over 10.5 36.25%
Under 10.5 63.75%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 50.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 68.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 31.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.61% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 62.39% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 15.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.7% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

San Diego 45.81%
Draw 23.71%
Houston Dynamo 30.5%
San Diego
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.71%
Total : 45.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.71%
Houston Dynamo
1-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 30.5%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Shell Energy Stadium
  • Ibrahim Aliyu 35' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 66' yellowcard
  • Artur  66' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Ennali 75' yellowcard
  • Héctor Herrera 75' yellowcard
  • Héctor Herrera 77' yellowcard
  • Erik Sviatchenko 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Ingvartsen 66'
  • yellowcard Amahl Pellegrino 66'
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 77'
  • yellowcard Ian Pilcher 77'
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 78'
  • yellowcard Ian Pilcher 79'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Alvarado  90'+1'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 1.30am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 3.30am
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT