Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Kelvin Yeboah 48' goal
  • Mauricio Gonzalez 66' yellowcard
  • Marcus Caldeira 78' goal
  • Wil Trapp 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lyle Foster 18'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 90'+2'

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Seattle 3 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Houston 0 - 2 Kansas
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Guilherme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 42.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 25.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Houston Dynamo 32.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.14% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 51.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.88% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 35.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 41.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Houston Dynamo 23.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 55.71% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Houston Dynamo 37.46% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60.7% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 28.24% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 9 49.16% ▼ (-0.30)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 39.3% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 10.5 38.12% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 10.5 61.88% ▲ (+0.28)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 41.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 18.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 67.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 42.02%
Draw 25.7%
Houston Dynamo 32.23%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 42.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
Houston Dynamo
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.23%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Pablo Ortiz 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ortiz 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ortiz 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Ortiz 45'+1' goal
  • Felipe de Andrade Vieira 77' goal
  • Felipe de Andrade Vieira 77' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 88' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 88' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 69'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 69'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 2.27am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Griffin Dorsey 36' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 36' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 82' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 82' goal
  • Amine Bassi 87' yellowcard
  • Amine Bassi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Lod 70'
  • goal Robin Lod 70'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Michael Boxall 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 55' yellowcard
  • Franco Fragapane 70' goal
  • Franco Fragapane 70' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 23'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 23'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 38'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Micael 40'
  • yellowcard Micael 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 74'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 74'
  • goal Sebastian Kowalczyk 77'
  • goal Sebastian Kowalczyk 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 87'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 6
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
US Open Cup
May 24, 2023 1.30am
BBVA Compass Stadium