Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Marcus Caldeira 23' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 30' goal
  • Carlos Harvey 69' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Ruiz 12'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 26'
  • goal João Klauss  76'
  • goal Marco Reus 80'

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 3.30am
LA Galaxy 1 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Marco Reus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 47.49% (-0.22)
Draw 25.96% (+0.06)
Los Angeles Galaxy 26.59% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.1% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.33% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 25.67% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 51.16% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 48.84% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 29.39% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 70.61% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 16.67% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.33% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 39.58% (-0.07)
Draw 38.05% (-0.21)
Los Angeles Galaxy 22.37% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 57.38% (+0.22)
No Goal 7.64% (-0.04)
Los Angeles Galaxy 34.98% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 62.68% (+0.80)
Equal 8 11.14% (-0.05)
Under 8 26.18% (-0.75)
Over 9 50.87% (+0.78)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.02)
Under 9 37.32% (-0.80)
Over 10.5 39.41% (+0.69)
Under 10.5 60.59% (-0.69)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 45.6% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 54.4% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 21.76% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 78.24% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 8.24% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 91.76% (+0.19)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 62.14% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 37.86% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 28.59% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 71.41% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 9.71% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 90.29% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.3% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 47.49%
Draw 25.96%
Los Angeles Galaxy 26.59%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.28% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.34% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.05)
Other @ 8.02% (-0.17)
Total : 47.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 25.96%
Los Angeles Galaxy
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.58% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.48% (+0.03)
Total : 26.59%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 3.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Marco Reus 57' goal
  • John Nelson 64' yellowcard
  • Erik Thommy 64' yellowcard
  • H. Miller 75' yellowcard
  • Miki Yamane 76' yellowcard
  • H. Miller 76' yellowcard
  • Maya Yoshida 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Markanich Jr. 51'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 60'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 61'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 67'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 81'
  • yellowcard Kieran Chandler 81'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 81'
  • yellowcard Kieran Chandler 82'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 82'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 90'+6'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 2.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Jung Sang-bin 12' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 18' goal
  • Nicolas Romero 73' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 87' goal
  • goal Christian Ramirez 26'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pec 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Elijah Wynder 56'
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 69'
  • goal Carlos Emiro Garces Torres 90'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 24, 2024 11.15pm
6
2
HT : 3 2
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Gabriel Pec 1' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 18' goal
  • Joseph Paintsil 37' goal
  • Joseph Paintsil 45' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 50' goal
  • Riqui Puig 58' yellowcard
  • Joseph Paintsil 86' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 89' goal
  • Marco Delgado 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 6'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 53'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 62'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 68'
  • redcard Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 82'
Major League Soccer
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • John Nelson 20' yellowcard
  • John Nelson 20' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 22' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 22' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 25' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 25' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 90' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 90' goal
  • goal Teemu Pukki 73'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 73'
  • yellowcard Jung Sang-bin 89'
  • yellowcard Jung Sang-bin 89'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 30' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 30' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 45' yellowcard
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 45' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 58' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 58' yellowcard
  • Kervin Arriaga 80' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 80' goal
  • goal Dejan Joveljic 61'
  • goal Dejan Joveljic 61'
  • goal Diego Fagundez 68'
  • goal Diego Fagundez 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 90'+7'