Major League Soccer
Nov 7, 2026 9.00pm
TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 6.00pm
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Nashville 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Nashville SC has a probability of 34.93% and a draw has a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Nashville SC win is 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 40.21% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 24.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Nashville SC 34.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.94% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.79% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 19.21% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 58.9% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 41.1% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 36.78% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 63.22% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 21.81% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 78.19% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 30.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 39.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Nashville SC 29.84% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 45.84% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Nashville SC 49.11% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 61.89% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 8 10.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 27.3% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 50.52% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 38.11% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 10.5 39.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 60.48% ▲ (+0.11)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 44.45% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 55.55% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 20.51% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 79.49% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 7.76% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 92.24% ▼ (-0.15)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 28.89% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 40.25% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 59.75% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 17.53% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 82.47% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 93.82% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 40.21%
Draw 24.86%
Nashville SC 34.94%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 40.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.86%
Nashville SC
1-2 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 34.94%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2026 1.30am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Sam Surridge 43' goal
  • Marcos Painter 49' yellowcard
  • Hany Mukhtar 53' goal
  • Jeison Palacios 70' yellowcard
  • Edvard Tagseth 79' yellowcard
  • Bryan Acosta 89' goal
  • Ahmed Qasem 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 44'
  • yellowcard Bryan Ramírez 89'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Josh Bauer 39' goal
  • Josh Bauer 39' goal
  • Edvard Tagseth 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Edvard Tagseth 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Evander 43'
  • goal Evander 43'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 90'+1'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 1.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT
  • Sam Surridge 5' goal
  • Sam Surridge 5' goal
  • Sam Surridge 25' goal
  • Sam Surridge 25' goal
  • Sam Surridge 42' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 42' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 75' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Acosta 9'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 9'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 19'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 19'
  • goal Luca Orellano 53'
  • goal Luca Orellano 53'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 74'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 74'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 79'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 79'
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 90'
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 90'
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Nippert Stadium
  • goal Jack Maher 25'
  • goal Jack Maher 25'
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 29'
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 29'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 1.32am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Luciano Acosta 42' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 42' goal
  • Santiago Arias 74' goal
  • Santiago Arias 74' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+9' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+9' goal
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 31'
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 31'