Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	New York Red Bulls
57.58% ( 0.54)	20.72% ( -0.26)	21.7% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 62.25% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.94% (

0.88)

35.06% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.94% (

0.98)

57.06% (

-0.97)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

0.44)

12.09% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.91)

37.64% (

-0.91)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

0.26)

29.18% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

0.32)

65.12% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 57.58%

New York Red Bulls 21.7%

Draw 20.72%

Columbus Crew	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 57.58%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.72%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.7%