Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.