/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
-
Jenson Metcalfe
67'
-
Alfie Massey
90'+1'
-
Jacob Ramsey
69'
-
Joe Willock
81'
Millwall vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result
Millwall
36.04%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
23.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Newcastle United
40.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
54.92%
▲
(+0.47)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.32%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
23.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
53.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
46.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
31.11%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
68.89%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
18.06%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 4.5
81.94%
▼
(-0.55)
First Half Winner
Millwall
29.4%
▲
(+0.95)
Draw
42.18%
▲
(+0.93)
Newcastle United
28.42%
▼
(-1.86)
Team To Score First
Millwall
47.4%
▲
(+1.47)
No Goal
6.36%
▼
(-0.20)
Newcastle United
46.24%
▼
(-1.26)
Corners
Over 8
63.6%
▲
(+4.46)
Equal 8
10.41%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 8
25.99%
▼
(-4.02)
Over 9
52.5%
▲
(+4.53)
Equal 9
11.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 9
36.4%
▼
(-4.46)
Over 10.5
41.61%
▲
(+4.25)
Under 10.5
58.39%
▼
(-4.25)
Millwall Goals
Over 1.5
36.65%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
63.35%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
15.19%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
84.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
5.13%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
94.87%
▼
(-0.27)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
71.7%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
28.3%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
40.22%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
59.78%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
17.88%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 2.5
82.12%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
6.52%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
93.48%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Millwall
36.04%
Draw
23.86%
Newcastle United
40.11%
Millwall
1-0
@
8.54%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 36.04%
2-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 36.04%
Draw
1-1
@
11.16%
▲
(+0.33)
0-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.86%
0-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.86%
Newcastle United
0-1
@
8.79%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 40.11%
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 40.11%