MX23RW : Friday, April 19 20:32:28| >> :60:758:758:
[monks data]
Leipzig logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 7, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Manchester City logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Man City

Szoboszlai (24'), Silva (71')
Kampl (14'), Adams (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mahrez (77')
De Bruyne (30'), Stones (81')
Walker (83')

Preview: RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Already guaranteed to finish at the top of the pile in Champions League Group A, Manchester City travel to RB Leipzig for matchday six on Tuesday evening.

Pep Guardiola's men saw off Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 last time out, while their German hosts put five unanswered goals past Club Brugge.


Match preview

RB Leipzig coach Jesse Marsch reacts on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Club Brugge could have been forgiven for harbouring hopes of victory against a Leipzig side low on both numbers and confidence, but the German side were simply a class above at the Jan Breydel Stadium in a romping 5-0 triumph.

The irrepressible Christopher Nkunku and Emil Forsberg both bagged braces on the night while Andre Silva also made the net ripple, but Leipzig's fate was sealed as Man City and PSG both booked their last-16 spots on the penultimate matchday.

Leipzig have taken just four points from a possible 15 in Group A - with the win at Brugge their only one in the 2021-22 tournament so far - and they sit level on points with their Belgian counterparts ahead of the final matchday but with a far superior goal difference.

The battle to secure Europa League football is set to go right down to the wire, but Leipzig's domestic fortunes have taken a turn for the worse, with a 2-1 defeat to Union Berlin on Friday representing their third Bundesliga defeat on the bounce before it was announced that Jesse Marsch had left the club.

The German giants are also winless in their last three Champions League games on home soil and have conceded two in each of their last four European encounters at the Red Bull Arena, but Guardiola's men do not exactly have much to play for.

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on November 24, 2021© Reuters

City's dominance against a Marquinhos-inspired PSG counted for nought in the first half of their clash at the Etihad Stadium, and Guardiola's side had it all to do in the second half as Kylian Mbappe opened the scoring not long after the restart.

However, last season's runners-up ultimately made their pressure pay off, as Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus turned the tie on its head with two quickfire strikes to ensure that City would qualify for the knockout stages in first place.

The Premier League champions have taken 12 points from a possible 15 in Group A and cannot be caught by PSG at this late stage, and they warmed up for this inconsequential tie with a 3-1 win over Watford thanks to a stellar Bernardo Silva display.

The group leaders now head into Tuesday's game on a seven-game winning streak across all competitions - scoring at least two goals in each of those encounters - but rather surprisingly, they are yet to keep a clean sheet in the Champions League this term.

No fewer than nine goals were scored in City's Etihad clash with Leipzig back in September as Guardiola's men ran out 6-3 winners, but the Citizens will be well aware of what Nkunku can produce after his remarkable hat-trick in that fixture.

RB Leipzig Champions League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

RB Leipzig form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Manchester City Champions League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Kevin De Bruyne warms up for Man City on October 30, 2021© Reuters

Leipzig midfielder Tyler Adams is back from a Champions League suspension served in the thrashing of Brugge, and his return is timely with Ilaix Moriba and Amadou Haidara both out of contention.

Yussuf Poulsen is still struggling with a calf problem and joins Dani Olmo, Marcel Halstenberg and Marcelo Saracchi on the sidelines, while Willi Orban and Hugo Novoa (COVID-19) were still self-isolating before the Union Berlin defeat.

Mohamed Simakan was fit enough to come off the bench in that defeat and could now feature from the start, but Achim Beierlorzer's hand is forced in several areas of the pitch.

As for City, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and Kevin De Bruyne have all returned to fitness to boost Guardiola's options in the final third, leaving Ferran Torres as the visitors' only injury concern.

De Bruyne came off the bench in the Watford win after recovering from COVID-19 and will start here, while Riyad Mahrez and Cole Palmer could start in the attack with Gabriel Jesus being left at home.

Oleksandr Zinchenko, Nathan Ake and Fernandinho can also feel confident about their chances of starting, and there may be a place for Zack Steffen in between the sticks.

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Klostermann, Simakan, Gvardiol; Mukiele, Adams, Laimer, Angelino; Nkunku, Forsberg; A. Silva

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Steffen; Walker, Stones, Ake, Zinchenko; De Bruyne, Fernandinho, B. Silva; Mahrez, Palmer, Grealish


SM words green background

We say: RB Leipzig 1-2 Manchester City

Leipzig's prospects of finding the back of the net are always high with Nkunku leading the charge and the new manager bounce potentially in tow, and City have been uncharacteristically leaky at the back in Europe so far this term.

Guardiola will not allow his side to take their foot off the gas even with qualification assured, though, and with several fringe players hoping to impress, the Premier League champions ought to prevail by a narrow margin.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:472002:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12139:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Man City

RB Leipzig
18.4%
Draw
11.2%
Manchester City
70.4%
473
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Germany's Ilkay Gundogan scores from the penalty spot against Liechtenstein on November 11, 2021
Read Next:
How Man City players including Gundogan, De Bruyne fared on international duty
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QBayern651016
QCopenhagen62228
3Galatasaray61235
4Man Utd61144

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
QArsenal641113
QPSV62319
3Lens62228
4Sevilla60242

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Madrid660018
QNapoli631210
3Braga61144
4Union Berlin60242

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Sociedad633012
QInter Milan633012
3Benfica61144
4Salzburg61144

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
QAtletico642014
QLazio631210
3Feyenoord62046
4Celtic61144

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
QDortmund632111
QPSG62228
3AC Milan62228
4Newcastle61235

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
QMan City660018
QRB Leipzig640212
3Young Boys61144
4Red Star60151

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
QBarcelona640212
QPorto640212
3Shakhtar63039
4Antwerp61053


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!