Nations League
Oct 13, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Kurt Shaw 29' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Mentz 39' yellowcard
  • Joseph Mbong 70' yellowcard
  • Teddy Teuma 87' goal
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 30'
  • yellowcard Maxim Cojocaru 51'
  • yellowcard Mihail Caimacov 62'

Malta vs Moldova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
Andorra 0 - 1 Malta

Moldova

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 10, 2024 5.00pm
Moldova 2 - 0 Andorra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Malta 34.83% (-0.48)
Draw 25.67% (-0.16)
Moldova 39.5% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.13% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 48.87% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 29.04% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 70.96% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 14.01% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 85.99% (-0.39)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 73% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.65% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.35% (-0.02)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 75.61% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 24.39% (-0.62)
Over 1.5 41.19% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 58.81% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Malta 34.83%
Draw 25.66%
Moldova 39.5%
Malta
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
Moldova
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.58% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.56% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.04% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.08% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.42% (+0.07)
0-4 @ 1.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 39.5%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadionul Zimbru
  • 23' goal
  • Mihail Caimacov 32' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 45'+4' goal
  • Nichita Motpan 65' yellowcard
  • Vitalie Damascan 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Guillaumier 45'
  • yellowcard Henry Bonello 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Zach Muscat 53'
  • yellowcard Michele Marcolini 54'