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Mark Lameck
43'
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Denis Chembezi
72'
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Lloyd Banega Aaron
90'+5'
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Nicolas Jackson
59'
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Pape Gueye
72'
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Kalidou Koulibaly
76'
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Sadio Mane
90'+6'
Malawi vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Malawi Goals
Senegal Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 17.68%
0-0 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.84%
0-2 @ 12.05% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 57.47%
Brighton Munthali
16'