Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 2.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Nelson (20', 20'), Blackmon (70', 70')
Rios (64'), Rios (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Luna (90+6' pen., 90+6' pen.)
Ojeda (22'), Ojeda (22'), Glad (50'), Glad (50'), Luna (61'), Luna (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: San Diego 1-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Real Salt Lake
60.65% ( 0.07)	20.25% ( -0.02)	19.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.38% (

0.02)

36.62% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.23% (

0.03)

58.77% (

-0.03)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.27% (

0.02)

11.73% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.13% (

0.06)

36.87% (

-0.06)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

-0.04)

32.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.04)

69.04% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 60.65%

Real Salt Lake 19.1%

Draw 20.25%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 60.65%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.25%	1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.1%