Major League Soccer

Apr 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK

San Diego
1 - 3
Salt Lake

Lozano (45+5' pen., 45+5' pen.)
Bombino (56'), Bombino (56'), Lozano (73'), Lozano (73'), Alvarado (87'), Alvarado (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Luna (45+1', 45+1', 54' pen., 54' pen.), Junqua (66', 66')
Katranis (45'), Katranis (45'), Quinton (83'), Quinton (83'), Goncalves (86'), Goncalves (86'), Davis (90+3'), Davis (90+3')
Davis (90+6'), Davis (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between San Diego and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 San Diego
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, April 20 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
San Diego	Draw	Real Salt Lake
42.36% ( 0.01)	23.78% ( 0)	33.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.65% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.63% (

-0.01)

40.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.25% (

-0.01)

62.75% (

0.01)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

19.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

51.14% (

-0)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

-0.01)

23.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

-0.02)

57.61% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

San Diego 42.36%

Real Salt Lake 33.86%

Draw 23.78%

San Diego	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.36%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.86%