Major League Soccer

Apr 13, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Palencia (65'), Bouanga (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Espinoza (90+5')
Wilson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, April 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 6-1 DC United
Sunday, April 6 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
64.92% ( 0.29)	19.44% ( -0.07)	15.64% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88% (

-0.1)

39.12% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55% (

-0.11)

61.45% (

0.11)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.67% (

0.05)

11.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.99% (

0.1)

36.01% (

-0.1)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04% (

-0.34)

37.96% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27% (

-0.33)

74.73% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 64.91%

San Jose Earthquakes 15.64%

Draw 19.44%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.91%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.44%	1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.64%