Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 3.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Nathan Ordaz 10' goal
  • Nathan Ordaz 10' goal
  • David Martinez 31' yellowcard
  • David Martinez 31' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 56' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 56' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 79' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 79' goal
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 8'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 8'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 25'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 25'
  • redcard Franco Escobar 90'+5'
  • redcard Franco Escobar 90'+5'

Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2025 12.00am
Los Angeles 2 - 2 St Louis City
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 1.30am
Houston 2 - 0 Austin
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Ezequiel Ponce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result

Los Angeles FC 52.38% (+0.46)
Draw 23.3% (-0.01)
Houston Dynamo 24.32% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.6% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.94% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 44.06% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 33.56% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 66.44% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 17.2% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 82.8% (+0.31)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 83.17% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.83% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 53.18% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 46.82% (-0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 68.06% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 31.94% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 31.6% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 68.4% (+0.70)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 52.38%
Draw 23.3%
Houston Dynamo 24.32%
Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.79% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 52.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.3%
Houston Dynamo
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 24' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 24' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 57' goal
  • Jack McGlynn 57' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Adam Saldana 61'
  • yellowcard Adam Saldana 61'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 74'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 74'
Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Hector Herrera 52' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 52' yellowcard
  • Artur 56' yellowcard
  • Artur 56' yellowcard
  • Micael 85' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 85' yellowcard
  • Micael 85' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 85' yellowcard
  • goal 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ilie Sanchez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ilie Sanchez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 56'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 56'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 78'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 78'
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Denis Bouanga 36' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 36' yellowcard
  • Sergi Palencia 55' yellowcard
  • Sergi Palencia 55' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Ponce 28'
  • goal Ezequiel Ponce 28'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 33'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 33'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 34'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 34'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 49'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 49'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 53'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 53'
  • goal Lawrence Ennali 72'
  • goal Lawrence Ennali 72'
Major League Soccer
Dec 3, 2023 2.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Ryan Hollingshead 44' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 44' goal
  • Franco Escobar 80' goal
  • Franco Escobar 80' goal
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 71'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 71'
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2023 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • goal Micael 23'
  • goal Micael 23'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Nelson Quinones 11' goal
  • Nelson Quinones 11' goal
  • Amine Bassi 50' goal
  • Amine Bassi 50' goal
  • Corey Baird 69' goal
  • Corey Baird 69' goal
  • Franco Escobar 89' goal
  • Franco Escobar 89' goal