Major League Soccer

May 19, 2025 at 2am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 2
Los Angeles

Reus (6', 87')
Yamane (45+2'), Cerrillo (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bouanga (13'), Ordaz (50')
Delgado (25'), Palencia (48'), Bouanga (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 4-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 15 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
45.35% ( 0.11)	22.56% ( 0.21)	32.08% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 65.49% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.95% (

-1.23)

35.04% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.95% (

-1.38)

57.04% (

1.37)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

-0.44)

16.01% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.64% (

-0.81)

45.35% (

0.79)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98% (

-0.77)

22.01% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.66% (

-1.17)

55.33% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 45.35%

Los Angeles FC 32.08%

Draw 22.56%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.35%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.42% Total : 32.08%