Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Brandon Vazquez 10' goal
  • Jon Gallagher 19' goal
  • Daniel Pereira 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Pilcher 3'
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 14'
  • goal Luca de la Torre 27'
  • yellowcard Christopher McVey 55'

Austin FC vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 7.45pm
Los Angeles 0 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Brandon Vazquez

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 2.30am
San Diego 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Anders Dreyer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result

Austin FC 96.39% (+0.02)
Draw 2.69% (-0.02)
San Diego 0.92% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.89% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 90.66% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 9.33% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 78.92% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 21.07% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 63.01% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 36.98% (-0.13)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 99.23% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 0.76% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 95.5% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 4.49% (-0.03)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 42.21% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 57.79% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 10.52% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 89.48% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Austin FC 96.37%
Draw 2.69%
San Diego 0.92%
Austin FC
4-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.53% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
8-0 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
7-1 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
8-1 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
9-0 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
6-2 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
9-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.61%
Total : 96.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 2.69%
San Diego
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 0.92%