Major League Soccer

Mar 23, 2025 at 8pm UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
San Diego

Vazquez (10'), Gallagher (19')
Pereira (33')

FT(HT: 2-1)

de la Torre (27')
Pilcher (3'), de la Torre (14'), McVey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Austin
Saturday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Diego

All competitions

Last Game: San Diego 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	San Diego
96.39% ( 0.02)	2.69% ( -0.01)	0.92% ( -0)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

90.66% (

0.05)

9.33% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

78.92% (

0.09)

21.07% (

-0.09)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.23% (

0.01)

0.76% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

95.5% (

0.03)

4.49% (

-0.03)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.21% (

0.04)

57.79% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.52% (

0.02)

89.48% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 96.37%

San Diego 0.92%

Draw 2.69%

Austin FC	Draw	San Diego
4-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 5-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 8-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 8-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 9-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 9-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 10-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.69% Total : 96.37%	1-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 2.69%	Other @ 0.92% Total : 0.92%