Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.