Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 26, 2025 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'

Atlanta United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2025 12.30am
Atlanta 0 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2025 12.15am
Columbus Crew 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kevin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 45.07% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 23.36% ▲ (+0.06)
FC Cincinnati 31.57% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.24% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.79% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 39.21% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 38.46% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 61.54% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 20.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 79.08% ▲ (+0.15)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 82.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 17.76% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 51.55% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 48.45% ▲ (+0.27)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 45.07%
Draw 23.36%
FC Cincinnati 31.57%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 45.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.36%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 22, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Lukas Engel 9' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 27' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 59' yellowcard
  • Evander 70' goal
  • Evander 75' goal
  • yellowcard William Reilly 27'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 50'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 69'
  • goal Alvas Powell 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Dominique Badji 25' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Miazga 73' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 12'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 36'
  • redcard Thiago Almada 51'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 85'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Atlanta
  • Alvaro Barreal 14' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 29' goal
  • Brenner 41' goal
  • Matt Miazga 58' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 78' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 17'
  • yellowcard Caleb Wiley 27'
  • goal Andrew Gutman 83'

Form Data

Atlanta 0 - 1 Philadelphia
Austin 1 - 1 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 1 Nashville
Orlando City 3 - 0 Atlanta
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
Columbus Crew 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Toronto 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Austin
NY City 1 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Kansas
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati