Major League Soccer

May 18, 2025 at 12.15am UK

Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Rossi (54' pen., 54' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Denkey (6', 6')
Bucha (19'), Bucha (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
52.88% ( -0.24)	21.87% ( 0.21)	25.25% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.67% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.48% (

-1.01)

36.52% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.33% (

-1.11)

58.67% (

1.12)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

-0.42)

13.98% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.51% (

-0.84)

41.49% (

0.85)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

-0.52)

27.15% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-0.68)

62.55% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 52.88%

FC Cincinnati 25.25%

Draw 21.87%

Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.88%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 25.25%