Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
May 18, 2025 12.15am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Lower.com Field
Cincinnati
  • Diego Rossi 54' goal
  • Diego Rossi 54' goal
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 19'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 19'

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2025 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Diego Rossi

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2025 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kevin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Columbus Crew 52.88% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 21.87% ▲ (+0.22)
FC Cincinnati 25.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.67% ▼ (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.48% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 2.5 36.52% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 3.5 41.33% ▼ (-1.12)
Under 3.5 58.67% ▲ (+1.12)
Over 4.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 4.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.93)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 86.02% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 13.98% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 58.51% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 1.5 41.49% ▲ (+0.85)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 0.5 27.15% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 1.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 62.55% ▲ (+0.69)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 52.88%
Draw 21.87%
FC Cincinnati 25.25%
Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 52.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.87%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 25.25%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Columbus Crew
  • 45' goal
  • Chidozie Awaziem 78' yellowcard
  • Chidozie Awaziem 78' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 88' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Camilo Hernandez 68'
  • yellowcard Juan Camilo Hernandez 68'
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
May 12, 2024 12.45am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Sean Zawadzki 38' yellowcard
  • Sean Zawadzki 38' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 80' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 80' yellowcard
  • Max Arfsten 89' goal
  • Max Arfsten 89' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 34'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 34'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 37'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 37'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 70'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 70'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 74'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 74'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 76'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 76'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Dec 2, 2023 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
ET Nippert Stadium
Columbus Crew
  • Brandon Vazquez 14' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+3' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 73' yellowcard
  • Dominique Badji 82' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 99' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 117' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Moreira 45'+2'
  • goal Alvas Powell 75' (OG)
  • goal Diego Rossi 86'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 115'
  • yellowcard Julian Gressel 120'+1'
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Lower.com Field
Cincinnati
  • Aidan Morris 15' goal
  • Aidan Morris 15' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 23' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 23' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 90'+6' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 76'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 76'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 21, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT
Columbus Crew
  • Luciano Acosta 17' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 17' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 23' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 23' goal
  • Junior Moreno 67' goal
  • Junior Moreno 67' goal
  • goal Lucas Zelarayan 40'
  • goal Lucas Zelarayan 40'
  • goal Malte Amundsen 52'
  • goal Malte Amundsen 52'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Columbus Crew
  • Brandon Vazquez 36' goal
  • Junior Moreno 43' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 77' goal
  • yellowcard Milos Degenek 47'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 74'
  • goal Steven Moreira 90'+6'

Form Data

Montreal 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Earthquakes
Columbus Crew 0 - 1 Inter Miami
St Louis City 1 - 2 Columbus Crew
Toronto 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Austin
NY City 1 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Kansas
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
DC United 0 - 1 Cincinnati