Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Fabio Gruber 21' goal
  • Phillip Tietz 32' goal
  • Ransford Königsdörffer 82' goal
  • 86' goal

Mainz 05 vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Udinese 3 - 3 Mainz

Paris FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
Stuttgart 2 - 2 Paris FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.36% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (6.07%).

Result

Mainz 05 52.47% (+0.04)
Draw 25.36% (-0.11)
Paris FC 22.12% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.65% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.19% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 23.81% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 52.49% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 47.51% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 30.4% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 69.6% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 17.35% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 82.65% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 40.58% (-0.04)
Draw 40.47% (+0.05)
Paris FC 18.95% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 59.21% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.73% (-0.10)
Paris FC 34.06% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.68% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.04)
Under 8 30.7% (-0.11)
Over 9 45.85% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.05)
Under 9 42.32% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 34.83% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.17% (+0.04)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 50.08% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 49.92% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 23.6% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 76.4% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 9% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 91% (-0.13)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 59.76% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.24% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.29% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 73.71% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 8.26% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 91.74% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.36% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.64% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 52.45%
Draw 25.36%
Paris FC 22.13%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.28% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.05)
Other @ 8.91% (+0.11)
Total : 52.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 25.36%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.27% (+0.05)
Total : 22.13%