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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Coventry City

Luton
2 - 0
Coventry

Bree (23'), Adebayo (42' pen.)
Nombe (82'), Pearson (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McFadzean (41')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Coventry City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After seeing their weekend trip to Rotherham United postponed, Coventry City will visit Luton Town in the Championship on Tuesday.

The Sky Blues remained in 20th despite not playing on Saturday, while the Hatters slipped to 16th following defeat to Swansea City.


Match preview

Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020© Reuters

Luton were beaten by a third-minute goal in a 1-0 loss to the promotion-chasing Swans, but Nathan Jones was aggrieved not to take anything from the game as his side had more possession and created more chances.

Not for the first time this season, the Hatters lacked a clinical edge – only four teams in the Championship have netted fewer goals than them this season, and they are the lowest scorers in the division since the start of 2021.

The Bedfordshire outfit have only won one of their last six home games – against struggling Sheffield Wednesday – and they have not kept a clean sheet at Kenilworth Road since mid-December.

Although Jones and the club's fans may wonder whether a playoff push would have been achievable had the team improved their consistency and not started the calendar year in such poor form, it is worth remembering that Luton only survived relegation from the Championship last season on the final day of the campaign. They have not been troubled by that threat at all this year and are currently 12 points clear of the bottom three.

Coventry are in the same position as the Hatters were 12 months ago – desperate for survival having been promoted as champions of League One the season before.

Coventry City's Matthew James celebrates scoring their first goal on February 27, 2021© Reuters

Mark Robins's side are currently six points clear of the relegation zone with a game against bottom-of-the-table Wycombe Wanderers to come at the weekend.

Maxime Biamou's early goal secured a vital 1-0 win over Derby in their last outing, a result which Robins described as "massive".

It was only a second victory in 10 matches for Coventry, and they are now aiming to win back-to-back games for the first time all season; that will not be easy considering their away record, having won just two of their 17 matches on the road in 2020-21, while only Wycombe have picked up fewer points away from home.

A 0-0 stalemate in this season's reverse fixture at St. Andrew's in December was the third draw in the last four games between the two sides and their first meeting in the second tier since 2007.

Luton Town Championship form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Coventry City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W


Team News

Coventry City manager Mark Robins pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Dan Potts was stretchered off in Luton's defeat to Swansea with a suspected head injury, but Jones confirmed after the game that it was nothing serious and "just shook him up a bit", so the left-back should feature on Tuesday.

Glen Rea returned to the matchday squad on Saturday after an Achilles problem and could now come in to start, while top scorer James Collins is pushing for a recall, but centre-back pair Tom Lockyer and Sonny Bradley remain injured.

Robins could name the same Coventry starting XI that were victorious against Derby last time out, meaning top scorer Tyler Walker will be restricted to the bench.

Matty Godden returned to the matchday squad against the Rams after two months out injured and had hoped to play a part at Rotherham before the game was postponed so he will be eager to feature on Tuesday.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Cranie, Pearson, Naismith, Potts; Tunnicliffe, Rea, Dewsbury-Hall; Mpanzu; Collins, Adebayo

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Wilson; Ostigard, McFadzean, Hyam; Dabo, Hamer, Kelly, James, McCallum; O'Hare; Biamou


SM words green background

We say: Luton Town 0-0 Coventry City

Coventry will know that this is an opportunity to pull well clear of the relegation zone against a Luton side that have very little to play for in their final 11 games. However, it is hard not to take into account the Sky Blues' woeful away record so we think that this one will end level.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Luton vs Coventry

Luton Town
52.8%
Draw
30.2%
Coventry City
17.0%
106
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