MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 03:53:47| >> :120:63783:63783:
[monks data]
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Brest logo

Lorient
1 - 0
Brest

Abergel (45')
Abergel (20'), Monconduit (78'), Hamel (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mounie (52'), Brassier (85')
Belkebla (90+3')

Preview: Lorient vs. Brest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With both sides still embroiled in the battle to avoid demotion, 17th-placed Lorient welcome Brest to Stade du Moustoir on Sunday afternoon.

The imperiled pair drew their final matches before the international break and now go head-to-head in a crucial clash at the wrong end of Ligue 1.


Match preview

Lorient manager Christophe Pelissier pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Last year's Ligue 2 champions Lorient remain in the mix to achieve their primary objective for the 2020-21 season, as they sit precariously outside the top-flight drop zone on goal difference, with eight games to play.

A tally of 17 points from their last 11 matches - including an already infamous win over PSG in late January - has offered Christophe Pelissier's squad a realistic shot at survival.

Having spent several seasons out of the big time before last summer's promotion, the relegation battlers still face a tricky run-in, though hope to continue their increasingly solid form after a fortnight's hiatus.

Lorient are certainly proving tougher to beat of late, remaining undefeated in their four most recent outings. Though top scorer Terem Moffi has only eight goals so far, and they collectively average just over a goal per game, Les Merlus have found a way to grind out results - with six of their seven wins this term coming on home soil.

Despite managing to find the net twice in the reverse fixture against local rivals Brest though, Pelissier's men were beaten 3-2 at Stade Francis-Le Ble last autumn, so will aim for a measure of revenge on Sunday.

Brest manager Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Brest emerged from a cruel run of fixtures - facing Lille, Lyon, Monaco, Marseille and PSG in five of their previous six matches in league and cup - to earn a goalless draw with mid-table Angers last time out.

Now faced with back-to-back games against lowly Lorient and Nimes - both below them in the standings - the Breton side could pull themselves within touching distance of safety coming into the final stretch.

Les Pirates have plundered two wins and three draws from their last eight league outings, which sees them closer to the top half than the bottom three, whom they are currently six points clear of.

Having come within minutes of earning an impressive draw at Marseille last month - and previously downed Dijon thanks to a first-half goal blitz - head coach Olivier Dall'Oglio will surely expect his team to take maximum points this weekend; improving their recent record of just five points from a possible fifteen.

Lorient Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Lorient form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D


Brest Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Brest form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Steve Mounie pictured for Benin on June 29, 2019© Reuters

Brest's Benin international striker Steve Mounie returns from an extraordinary spell on international duty, during which he accused opponents Sierra Leone's testing authorities of fabricating positive COVID-19 cases among the Benin squad ahead of a crucial Africa Cup of Nations qualifier; subsequently postponed.

Though the former Huddersfield Town man, who has the most shots at goal for Brest this season, should be fit to lead the line alongside Irvin Cardona, the visitors could be without several players for this Breton derby, including defensive regulars Christophe Herelle and Ronael Pierre-Gabriel.

Hosts Lorient potentially have up to six squad members out through injury, including defenders Tiago Ilori and Jeremy Morel, while goalkeeper Paul Nardi continues his three-match suspension.

Mathieu Dreyer will continue in goal for Christophe Pellisier's side, behind a three-man defence featuring Chelsea loanee Trevoh Chalobah.

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Gravillon, Laporte, Chalobah; Mendes, Le Fee, Abergel, Grbic; Lauriente, Moffi, Wissa

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Faussurier, Chardonnet, Brassier, Perraud; Douaron, Lucas, Belkebla, Charbonnier; Mounie, Cardona


SM words green background

We say: Lorient 1-1 Brest

Lorient's battle against the drop could be set to go down to the wire, with a fourth successive draw a distinct possibility on Saturday.

A point apiece would not represent failure for either side, as Brest could continue their declining form of recent weeks against their lower-ranked local counterparts.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:441589:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10020:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Lorient vs Brest

Lorient
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Brest
10.7%
28
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Paris Saint-Germain's Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring against Barcelona in the Champions League on March 10, 2021
Read Next:
Sunday's Ligue 1 predictions including Lyon vs. Paris Saint-Germain
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!