MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 01:48:53| >> :120:7283:7283:
[monks data]
Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Anfield
Watford logo

Liverpool
2 - 0
Watford

Jota (22'), Fabinho (89' pen.)
Gomez (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Liverpool vs. Watford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With 16 places and 47 points separating them in the Premier League table, Liverpool and Watford resume top-flight action with Saturday's lunchtime kickoff at Anfield.

The second-placed Reds find themselves just one point behind Manchester City at the summit, while Roy Hodgson's side are three points adrift of safety in 18th.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp on March 16, 2022© Reuters

Only a couple of months after Liverpool had seemingly conceded the crown to Man City once again, we have a title race on our hands, and Jurgen Klopp's side are showing no signs of faltering as they continue their pursuit of an unprecedented quadruple.

Diogo Jota's close-range effort against Nottingham Forest saw Liverpool advance to the semi-finals of the FA Cup just before the international break - with the FA controversially refusing to move the fixture from Wembley despite travel disruption - and there is the small matter of next week's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Benfica to come as well.

With their only defeat in any competition since the turn of the year being that inconsequential loss to Inter Milan on their own turf, Liverpool are now within touching distance of Man City at the summit before the two heavyweights meet in a mouthwatering showdown on April 10 and would go top with a win here for at least a couple of hours before the champions meet Burnley.

It is now nine Premier League victories in a row for this rampant Liverpool outfit - who have kept clean sheets in each of their last four in the top flight and have scored 23 in their sparkling winning run - and Anfield is not often a happy hunting ground for visiting teams.

Indeed, Klopp's crop welcome Watford to Merseyside having won each of their last nine Premier League games at Anfield - where they are unbeaten domestically for over a year - and their tally of seven home goals conceded this term is unlikely to worsen against the goal-shy Hornets.

Watford manager Roy Hodgson on March 13, 2022© Reuters

Roy Hodgson's stint in the home dugout at Anfield may have been incredibly short-lived, but the 74-year-old is no stranger to taking his spot in the visiting end, and he may just have uncovered a hidden gem in his side's fight against the drop.

A couple of weeks on from his stunning yet inconsequential bicycle kick against Arsenal, Cucho Hernandez was at the double for Watford to propel them to a crucial 2-1 victory over Southampton at St Mary's, with the Hornets holding on for the entire second half after Mohamed Elyounoussi's effort.

Hernandez has had to be patient for his opportunities in black and yellow but has certainly staked his claim for a regular first-team role now - Colombia could have done with him after missing out on a spot in the World Cup - but Watford's survival destiny is still out of their own hands.

Indeed, Hodgson's side remain below the dotted line in 18th and sit three points adrift of 17th-placed Everton - who have two games in hand - but a record of just two defeats from their last seven league games away from home is a cause for slight optimism.

However, Liverpool produced a five-star showing to thrash their upcoming opponents 5-0 at Vicarage Road back in October, and Watford are on a six-game Premier League losing run at Anfield since Graham Taylor oversaw a 1-0 win in August 1999.

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Watford Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Trent Alexander-Arnold warms up for Liverpool in January 2022© Reuters

Liverpool defender Trent Alexander-Arnold is fighting to recover from his hamstring injury in time for Saturday's game, but the midweek encounter with Benfica is a more realistic aim for the Premier League's leading creator.

Naby Keita will need assessing after pulling out of international duty with a "minor" knee issue, but James Milner and Andy Robertson are expected to be available again following recent COVID-19 infections.

With Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane both going the distance in their pivotal World Cup qualifier, Klopp may elect to rotate a tad for Saturday's game, with Liverpool facing an unforgiving run of fixtures over the Easter period.

As for Watford, Jeremy Ngakia was once again absent for the Southampton win but should be fine to return here, while Nicolas Nkoulou could also apply for a place in the squad.

Hodgson may be tempted to bring in another defender or two to try to keep the scoreline respectable, but the veteran boss has little reason to alter the winning formula from St Mary's.

Such a setup would see Joao Pedro and Emmanuel Dennis join Hernandez in the final third, but Ismaila Sarr returned from injury for Senegal during the international break and could force his way in.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Gomez, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Firmino, Jota

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Femenia, Kabasele, Samir, Kamara; Louza, Sissoko, Kucka; Hernandez, Pedro, Dennis


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 3-0 Watford

Losing creator-in-chief Alexander-Arnold - even for an expected short amount of time - is a massive blow for this Liverpool side, but Klopp will still expect his XI to break down their opponents with ease at Anfield.

Kicking off a daunting April with a routine three points is a must for the Reds, and we can only envisage the hosts bringing Watford crashing back down to earth with a straightforward success.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:482026:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11129:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 4.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs Watford

Liverpool
85.8%
Draw
8.1%
Watford
6.2%
260
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Trent Alexander-Arnold warms up for Liverpool in January 2022
Read Next:
Trent Alexander-Arnold 'fighting to be fit for Man City clash'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Blanch
Nadal
10am
Cachin
Ofner
10am
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
10am
Gasquet
Sonego
10am
Hanfmann
Mensik
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
10am
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
10am
Lajovic
Monteiro
10am
Machac
Ruusuvuori
10am
Michelsen
Fonseca
10am
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
10am
O'Connell
Arnaldi
10am
Purcell
Giron
10am
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
10am
Tabilo
Cobolli
10am
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
10am
Azarenka
Maria
10am
Eala
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
10am
Gauff
Rus
10am
Keys
Camelia-Begu
10am
Podoroska
Navarro
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
10am
Baez
Van Assche
10am
Coric
Zverev
10am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
10am
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
10am
Hurkacz
Draper
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Altmaier
Fils
10am
Darderi
Fritz
10am
Griekspoor
Daniel
10am
Munar
Struff
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Navone
Rune
10am
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
10am
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
10am
Vekic
Sakkari
11.30am
Arango
Yastremska
11.30am
Osaka
Samsonova
11.30am
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
1pm
Haddad Maia
Errani
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!