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Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 19
Feb 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Anfield
Leeds logo

Liverpool
6 - 0
Leeds

Salah (15' pen., 35' pen.), Matip (30'), Mane (80', 90'), van Dijk (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Firpo (18'), Ayling (33'), Gelhardt (90+2')

Preview: Liverpool vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With hopes of a Premier League title push renewed, Liverpool prepare for battle against Leeds United at Anfield on Wednesday evening.

Jurgen Klopp's side survived a scare to beat Norwich City 3-1 last time out, while the Whites' efforts against Manchester United were in vain during a 4-2 defeat.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp reacts on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Norwich threatened the shock of all shocks when Milot Rashica's strike took a significant deflection off Joel Matip into the back of the net, but Liverpool soon found their groove in front of the Kop to pile even more pressure on Manchester City.

Sadio Mane's acrobatic effort preceded Mohamed Salah's 150th goal in Liverpool colours, and after the old faithful attackers had produced the goods, new arrival Luis Diaz struck his first goal for the club in clinical fashion to round off a simple win.

Following Man City's surprise home defeat at the hands of Tottenham Hotspur, the 2021-22 title is no longer out of reach for this Liverpool side, who have closed the gap at the top of the table to six points while boasting a game in hand on the reigning champions.

Klopp has claimed that the visit of Leeds will represent Liverpool's most important league match of the season so far, but domestic silverware elsewhere will soon take precedence, as the Reds may already have an eye on the EFL Cup final with Chelsea on February 27.

However, having won each of their last eight matches in all competitions and holding the honour of being the only Premier League side yet to lose a top-flight game at home this season, the Anfield faithful will expect nothing less than another dominant showing against leaky Leeds.

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa during the match on February 20, 2022© Reuters

From a bruised and bloodied Robin Koch, torrid conditions and a goal-fest, Leeds' reunion with Man United certainly lived up to the hype, and the Whites threatened quite the turnaround as Rodrigo's cross-cum-shot and Raphinha's tap-in cancelled out Harry Maguire and Bruno Fernandes's first-half headers.

However, two inspired changes from Ralf Rangnick turned the tide in Man United's favour, as Fred restored the Red Devils' lead before Anthony Elanga - who was struck by a coin while celebrating the Brazilian's goal - calmly slotted home through the legs of Illan Meslier.

It was refreshing to see Leeds' commitment to attacking still very much alive, but that 4-2 loss has done nothing to aid their prospects of a third consecutive season in the Premier League, with Marcelo Bielsa's men down in 15th and just five points clear of the bottom three.

The Whites have now lost three of their last four in the top flight and have shipped at least three goals in each of their last three, so it will come as no surprise to learn that Bielsa's breachable defence are still seeking their first clean sheet of 2022.

Furthermore, Leeds' tally of 29 goals conceded on the road this term represents the worst defensive record of its kind in the top flight, and Liverpool eased to a 3-0 win at Elland Road earlier this season to leave the Whites still awaiting their first victory in this fixture since 2001.

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Leeds United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Liverpool attacker Diogo Jota pictured on February 10, 2022© Reuters

Liverpool lost Roberto Firmino to a muscular issue before the Norwich win - with Klopp subsequently stating the forward would be out for a "while" - and the full extent of Diogo Jota's ankle injury is still unclear.

The Reds otherwise have no fresh concerns to report from the weekend, where the pack was shuffled considerably as Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson both enjoyed periods of rest.

The two full-backs will expect to return here despite the impending cup final, while Divock Origi will hope to come into contention for a rare start given Klopp's centre-forward dilemma.

As for Leeds, Koch ultimately left the field in the 31st minute after a collision with Scott McTominay busted him wide open, and the German will surely sit this one out amid concussion fears.

Sam Greenwood, Patrick Bamford, Kalvin Phillips and Liam Cooper also continue their spells out of action, so Jamie Shackleton could deputise for Koch in the middle alongside Adam Forshaw, unless Mateusz Klich drops deeper.

Raphinha was surprisingly named on the bench for the clash with Man United but will expect an immediate recall at Anfield, especially with Liverpool reported to be closely monitoring his progress.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Elliott, Fabinho, Henderson; Salah, Mane, Diaz

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Ayling, Llorente, Struijk, Dallas; Klich, Forshaw; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Harrison; James


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 3-0 Leeds United

Even with the EFL Cup final looming, Liverpool ought to have no trouble stamping their authority on the league's worst away defence just as they did at Elland Road earlier this season.

Klopp's side will certainly have Manchester City looking over their shoulder with a priceless three points in midweek, and we do not expect Leeds to spring any surprises.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 84.36%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 5.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs Leeds

Liverpool
87.2%
Draw
6.2%
Leeds United
6.6%
243
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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