Nations League
Gameweek
2
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-
Armandas Kučys
9'
-
Gvidas Gineitis
52'
-
Mahir Emreli
14'
-
Rahil Mammadov
27'
-
Tellur Mütallimov
39'
-
Aleksey Isayev
56'
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result
Lithuania
52.77%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
23.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Azerbaijan
24.22%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
46.7%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.56%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
27.44%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 2.5
50.01%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
49.99%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
28.23%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
71.77%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
17.26%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
82.74%
▼
(-0.06)
First Half Winner
Lithuania
43.31%
▲
(+0.52)
Draw
41.62%
▼
(-0.99)
Azerbaijan
15.07%
▲
(+0.48)
Team To Score First
Lithuania
61.51%
▼
(-0.18)
No Goal
7.69%
▲
(+0.09)
Azerbaijan
30.8%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
44.02%
▼
(-0.38)
Equal 8
11.26%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 8
44.72%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 9
33.69%
▼
(-0.27)
Equal 9
10.33%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 9
55.98%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 10.5
24.91%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 10.5
75.09%
▲
(+0.15)
Lithuania Goals
Over 1.5
46.84%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
53.16%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 2.5
23.58%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
76.42%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
9.81%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
90.19%
▲
(+0.13)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5
56.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
43.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
23.77%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
76.23%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 2.5
8.36%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
91.64%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
2.62%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
97.38%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Lithuania
52.78%
Draw
23%
Azerbaijan
24.22%
Lithuania
1-0
@
12.04%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 52.78%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 52.78%
Draw
1-1
@
10.73%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 23%
0-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 23%
Azerbaijan
0-1
@
7.71%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.22%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Dimitrij Nazarov
66'
-
Maksim Medvedev
83'
-
Modestas Vorobjovas
36'
-
Saulius Mikoliunas
76'
-
Justinas Marazas
88'