Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Benjamin André 72' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 81' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 82' yellowcard
  • Romain Perraud 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 86' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 90'+2' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 59'
  • yellowcard Igor Matanovic 59'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 60'
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Kalou Irie 72'
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Irié 72'
  • redcard Maximilian Eggestein 74'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Jung 83'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 83'

Lille vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 24, 2025 8.00pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Basel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Lille 45.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 24.12%
Freiburg 30.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.84% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lille 35.66%
Draw 41.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Freiburg 22.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lille 55.26% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Freiburg 38.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 33.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 44.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 44.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.71%
Under 10.5 65.29%

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 45.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 64.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lille 45.78%
Draw 24.12%
Freiburg 30.1%
Lille
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 45.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.12%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 30.1%