Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Olivier Giroud 82' yellowcard
  • Romain Perraud 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 59'
  • yellowcard Igor Matanovic 59'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 60'
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Kalou Irie 72'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Jung 83'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 83'

Lille vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Lille

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 M. Tel Aviv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Lille 45.78% (-0.01)
Draw 24.12%
Freiburg 30.1% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.07% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.93% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.56% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.44% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.16% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.84% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lille 35.66%
Draw 41.93% (+0.03)
Freiburg 22.41% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lille 55.26% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.02% (+0.02)
Freiburg 38.72% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.7% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.45% (+0.04)
Over 9 44.81% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.89% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.3% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.71%
Under 10.5 65.29%

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 45.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.76% (+0.03)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 64.9% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.1% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.6% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.4% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.17% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lille 45.78%
Draw 24.12%
Freiburg 30.1%
Lille
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.12% (-0.02)
Total : 45.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.02% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 24.12%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-1 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 30.1%