Ligue 2 Gameweek 32
Apr 26, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Pathe Mboup 73' goal
  • Tairyk Arconte 83' goal
  • Antoine Mille 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alpha Toure 51'
  • yellowcard Ismael Traore 53'
  • goal Pape Diallo 79'
  • yellowcard Ibou Sane 80'
  • yellowcard Sadibou Sane 80'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Lo 81'
  • yellowcard Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 87'

Pau vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 7.00pm
Ajaccio 1 - 1 Pau
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pathe Mboup

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 7.00pm
Metz 2 - 2 Red Star
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cheikh Sabaly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Pau 28.71% (-0.19)
Draw 26.03% (+0.06)
Metz 45.25% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.6% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.58% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 52.42% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 25.9% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 11.93% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 88.07% (+0.19)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 67.1% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 32.9% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 30.53% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 69.47% (+0.36)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 76.9% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 23.1% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.05% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 56.95% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Pau 28.71%
Draw 26.03%
Metz 45.25%
Pau
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.03%
Metz
0-1 @ 11.13% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.16% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.25%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Aboubacar Lo 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Ruiz 13'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Ahoussou 34'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mayron George 79' goal
  • goal Jerome Prior 58' (OG)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Amadou Dia Ndiaye 11' goal