Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Metz
28.71% ( -0.19)	26.03% ( 0.06)	45.25% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

-0.33)

52.42% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

-0.29)

74.1% (

0.29)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.31)

32.9% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

-0.35)

69.47% (

0.35)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.08)

23.1% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.12)

56.95% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Pau 28.71%

Metz 45.25%

Draw 26.03%

Pau	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.71%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 45.25%