Ligue 2 Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Marcel-Picot

Nancy vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nancy

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 7.45pm
Boulogne 0 - 0 Nancy

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 7.45pm
Montpellier 1 - 1 Dijon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Nancy has a probability of 34.13% and a draw has a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Nancy win is 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Nancy 34.13% (+0.09)
Draw 27.43% (-0.17)
Montpellier HSC 38.5% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.11% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.89% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.81% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 50.19% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 28.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.82% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.62% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.38% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nancy 26.82% (+0.09)
Draw 45.76% (-0.49)
Montpellier HSC 27.42% (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Nancy 46.65% (+0.16)
No Goal 8.12% (+0.04)
Montpellier HSC 45.23% (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 52.91% (+0.72)
Equal 8 12.4% (+0.05)
Under 8 34.69% (-0.77)
Over 9 40.73% (+0.61)
Equal 9 12.18% (+0.12)
Under 9 47.09% (-0.72)
Over 10.5 29.82% (+0.47)
Under 10.5 70.18% (-0.46)

Nancy Goals

Over 1.5 34.73% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.49% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.51% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.67% (+0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.76% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.54% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.46% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 16.09% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 83.91% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.57% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.43% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Nancy 34.14%
Draw 27.43%
Montpellier HSC 38.51%
Nancy
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.79% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.51% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.11% (+0.02)
Total : 34.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 8.12% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 27.43%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.13% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 5.35% (+0.07)
Total : 38.51%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Marcel-Picot
  • Jimmy Evans 46' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Fdaouch 46' yellowcard
  • Nehemiah Fernandez 55' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Teddy Bouriaud 79' yellowcard
  • Brandon Bokangu 83' yellowcard
  • goal Nathanaël Mbuku 9'
  • yellowcard Enzo Molebe 74'
  • goal Enzo Molebe 76'
  • yellowcard Axel Guéguin 79'
  • yellowcard Enzo Tchato 79'
  • goal Alexandre Mendy 81'
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 86'
  • yellowcard Nabil Homssa 87'
Ligue 2
Oct 25, 2025 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 16
Oct 30, 2019 8.05pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Florent Mollet 13' goal
  • Andy Delort 21' goal
  • Daniel Congre 28' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Cozza 62' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Cozza 68' redcard
  • Joris Chotard 76' goal
  • Salomon Sambia 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregoire Lefebvre 42'
  • goal Vagner 59'
  • yellowcard Herve Lybohy 66'
  • goal Herve Lybohy 89'
Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2017 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Anthony Robic 30' yellowcard
  • Tobias Badila 40' yellowcard
  • Youssef Ait Bennasser 75' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Mbenza 10'
  • goal Steve Mounie 19'
  • yellowcard Nordi Mulere Mukiele 56'
  • goal Isaac Mbenza 60'
  • yellowcard Lukas Pokorny 70'
Ligue 1
Nov 26, 2016 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Lasne 70' yellowcard
  • Stephane Sessegnon 80' yellowcard
  • Stephane Sessegnon 82' redcard
  • yellowcard Modou Diagne 40'
  • yellowcard Alou Diarra 91'
  • yellowcard Issiar Dia 93'
Ligue 1
Feb 16, 2013 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emanuel Herrera 34' goal
  • Younés Belhanda 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Moukandjo 17'
  • yellowcard Salif Sane 46'
  • yellowcard Jeff Louis 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Mangani 90'