Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 1.00am
Stade Marcel-Picot

Nancy vs Thionville Lusitanos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nancy

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 10.00am
Nancy 1 - 3 Troyes

Thionville Lusitanos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nancy win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw has a probability of 25.78% and a win for Thionville Lusitanos has a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%) , while for a Thionville Lusitanos win it is 0-1 (6.78%).

Result

Nancy 49.76% (-0.02)
Draw 25.78%
Thionville Lusitanos 24.51% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.22% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 51.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.17% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 30%
Under 3.5 70%
Over 4.5 17.78% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nancy 34.8%
Draw 42.8%
Thionville Lusitanos 22.4%

Team To Score First

Nancy 58.17%
No Goal 8%
Thionville Lusitanos 33.83%

Corners

Over 8 49.95%
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 37.79%
Over 9 38.22%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 50.05%
Over 10.5 27.92% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.08% (-0.02)

Nancy Goals

Over 1.5 47.51%
Under 1.5 52.49%
Over 2.5 23.07%
Under 2.5 76.93%
Over 3.5 9.33%
Under 3.5 90.67%

Thionville Lusitanos Goals

Over 0.5 59.54%
Under 0.5 40.46%
Over 1.5 27.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.85% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.49%
Under 2.5 90.51%
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nancy 49.77%
Draw 25.78%
Thionville Lusitanos 24.51%
Nancy
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 9.1%
Total : 49.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.78%
Thionville Lusitanos
0-1 @ 6.78% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Total : 24.51%