Ligue 2 Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Boulogne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
Dunkerque 0 - 1 Montpellier
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Yaël Mouanga

Boulogne

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
Boulogne 1 - 1 Red Star
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Abdel Hbouch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw has a probability of 26.78% and a win for Boulogne has a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Boulogne win it is 0-1 (7.04%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 47.01%
Draw 26.78%
Boulogne 26.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 51.01%
Under 2.5 48.99%
Over 3.5 30.22%
Under 3.5 69.78%
Over 4.5 17.23% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.77% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 32.88%
Draw 47.97%
Boulogne 19.15%

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 56.43%
No Goal 7.72%
Boulogne 35.85%

Corners

Over 8 52.78%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 35.16%
Over 9 40.96%
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 47.22%
Over 10.5 30.36%
Under 10.5 69.64%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 45.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.19% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.71% (-0.02)

Boulogne Goals

Over 0.5 62.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 37.82% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.2% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.05% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 47.01%
Draw 26.79%
Boulogne 26.17%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 8.03% (+0.01)
Total : 47.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 26.79%
Boulogne
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.79% (-0.01)
Total : 26.17%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Libération
  • Martin Lecolier 46' yellowcard
  • Corentin Fatou 59' goal
  • Joffrey Bultel 68' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Keita 69' yellowcard
  • Jonas Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Kouassi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Chennahi 58'
  • yellowcard Théo Chennahi 58'
  • yellowcard Nathanael Mbuku 69'
  • yellowcard Nathanaël Mbuku 69'
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 70'
Ligue 2
Sep 23, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT