Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Boulogne had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Annecy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Boulogne win was 1-0 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.