Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Boulogne had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Boulogne win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.