Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boulogne win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Laval had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boulogne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Laval win was 1-0 (10.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.