Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 4.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Ilan Kebbal 18' goal
  • Maxime Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Pagis 57' goal
  • Thibault De Smet 90' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Sousa 63'
  • yellowcard Gessime Yassine 67'
  • goal Moustapha Mbow 88' (OG)

Paris FC vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Paris FC 0 - 0 Lyon
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 4.15pm
Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Gessime Yassine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Paris FC 42.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 25.94% ▲ (+0.25)
Strasbourg 31.49% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.37% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.44% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 20.56% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 57.05% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 42.91% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 34.21% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 65.79% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 19.73% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 80.27% ▲ (+0.23)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 34.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 39.02% ▲ (+0.42)
Strasbourg 26.38% ▼ (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Paris FC 51.68% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 5.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Strasbourg 42.37% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.17% ▲ (+0.28)
Equal 8 11.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 30.16% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 9 46.24% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 9 11.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 41.83% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 10.5 35.06% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 10.5 64.94% ▼ (-0.36)

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 45.57% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 54.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 20.41% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 79.59% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 7.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.1% ▲ (+0.09)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 85.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Paris FC 42.61%
Draw 25.94%
Strasbourg 31.49%
Paris FC
2-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 42.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.94%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 31.49%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Sebastian Nanasi 63' yellowcard
  • Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 69' yellowcard
  • David Datro Fofana 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Krasso 64'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 64'
  • yellowcard Willem Geubbels 64'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Cafaro 89'
Ligue 1
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT