Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.