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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Brest logo

Nice
6 - 0
Brest

Guessand (16'), Laborde (19', 75'), Bouanani (28' pen.), Moffi (82'), Abdi (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Locko (26'), Lees-Melou (33'), Ndiaye (48'), Magnetti (62'), Balde (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Lille
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawBrest
59.8% (0.451 0.45)21.08% (-0.152 -0.15)19.12% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.24 0.24)40.53% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.246 0.25)62.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (0.212 0.21)13.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (0.426 0.43)39.91% (-0.423 -0.42)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-0.169 -0.17)34.81% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (-0.179 -0.18)71.54% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nice 59.8%
    Brest 19.12%
    Draw 21.08%
NiceDrawBrest
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 59.8%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.12%

How you voted: Nice vs Brest

Nice
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Brest
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
0-1
Nice
Guessand (42')
Dante (74'), Abdelmonem (84')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
0-0
Nice
Lees-Melou (45'), Camara (55'), Chardonnet (76')
Ndayishimiye (74')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nice
0-0
Brest
Atal (59')
Mounie (5'), Camara (34'), Chardonnet (62')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Brest
1-0
Nice
Le Douaron (12')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Nice
1-0
Brest
Laborde (54')
> Preview