| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 15.14% ( | 17.92% ( | 66.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.22% ( | 32.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.53% ( | 54.46% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( | 71.27% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.93% ( | 9.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.16% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.25% ( 1-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 2-0 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.49% Total : 15.14% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.92% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-2 @ 9.03% ( 1-3 @ 7.68% ( 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0-3 @ 7.22% ( 1-4 @ 4.61% ( 0-4 @ 4.34% ( 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-4 @ 2.45% ( 1-5 @ 2.21% 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 2-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.96% Total : 66.94% |