Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 0
Lorient

Savanier (55' pen.), Karamoh (90')
Ferri (14'), Savanier (42'), Khazri (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ponceau (15'), Yongwa (44'), Mendy (45+1'), Adjei (52'), Bamba (59'), Katseris (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
45.51% ( 0.08)	23.57% ( 0.03)	30.92% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 61.16% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.51% (

-0.18)

40.48% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

-0.18)

62.86% (

0.18)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91% (

-0.04)

18.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.99% (

-0.07)

49% (

0.06)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

-0.16)

25.33% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

-0.21)

60.12% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 45.51%

Lorient 30.92%

Draw 23.56%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.92%